Carlos Prates vs Jack Della Maddalena Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Jack Della Maddalena Win

Predicted: Carlos Prates by TKO/KO in Round 2

⚡78%

This welterweight clash pits two elite strikers against each other, but Carlos Prates enters with undeniable momentum, having secured six consecutive knockout victories in the UFC, including impressive stoppages of Geoff Neal and former champion Leon Edwards. Prates possesses devastating Muay Thai power, precise boxing, and a relentless, forward-pressure style that consistently hunts for the finish. While Jack Della Maddalena is a highly skilled former champion with refined boxing and a home-crowd advantage in Perth, he is coming off a title loss to Islam Makhachev where he admitted to a 'rough camp' and emotional struggles. Della Maddalena also endured a severe arm injury and subsequent infection in 2024, which could subtly impact his confidence or durability. Prates' raw power and aggressive finishing instinct are likely to overwhelm Della Maddalena, who, despite his technical prowess, has shown vulnerabilities in recent high-stakes bouts. Prates has explicitly stated his intention to knock out Della Maddalena. The fight is expected to be a striking battle, favoring Prates' current form and knockout ability.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Carlos Prates by KO/TKO (-1.5)

75%

Given Carlos Prates' perfect record of 6-0 via KO/TKO in his UFC wins, and his aggressive, finish-oriented style, picking him to win by knockout or technical knockout is the most logical 'spread' equivalent. Della Maddalena, while a strong striker, is coming off a loss and has faced injury concerns, making him potentially more susceptible to Prates' power. Prates' recent performances against top-tier opponents demonstrate his capability to finish fights decisively.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 2.5

85%

Both Carlos Prates and Jack Della Maddalena are known for their finishing abilities. Prates has a 100% finish rate in his UFC wins, all by KO/TKO. Della Maddalena also has a high finishing rate, with 12 of his 18 wins coming by KO. This fight is highly anticipated as a striking war, and neither fighter typically looks to go the distance. The aggressive nature of both combatants, coupled with their power, strongly suggests that the fight will end before the championship rounds, likely within the first two rounds.

💰 Sharp Money

Without live odds, it's difficult to pinpoint sharp money movement. However, given Prates' impressive knockout run and Della Maddalena's recent loss, sharp bettors might be inclined to back Prates, especially if the line offers value on a finish. Line movement: N/A (No odds provided). If odds were available, we would anticipate movement towards Prates by KO/TKO and the 'under' on total rounds, reflecting the public and sharp perception of his finishing ability.