Brando Pericic vs Shamil Gaziev Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Brando Pericic Win

Predicted: Brando Pericic by KO/TKO in Round 1

⚡80%

Brando Pericic enters this heavyweight clash with significant momentum, boasting a perfect 2-0 UFC record, both wins coming by devastating first-round TKO. His striking statistics are impressive, with 12.91 significant strikes landed per minute at 64% accuracy, coupled with 55% striking defense. Pericic's aggressive style and overwhelming power have led to all six of his professional wins being first-round stoppages. Shamil Gaziev, while more experienced with a 14-2 record, is coming off a first-round KO loss to Waldo Cortes-Acosta in November 2025. His striking metrics in the UFC are considerably lower (2.62 SLpM, 47% accuracy, 45% striking defense). While Gaziev possesses grappling ability and KO power, his recent performance and lower striking defense make him vulnerable to Pericic's early onslaught. Pericic's training at City Kickboxing also adds to his strong preparation.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Brando Pericic to win (0)

85%

Given Brando Pericic's dominant and quick finishes in his UFC career, he is the clear favorite. His ability to end fights early with powerful striking makes a straight win pick highly confident. While there's no traditional NFL-style spread, the expectation is a decisive victory for Pericic.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 1.5

75%

Both fighters have a high finishing rate, particularly Brando Pericic, who has finished all his professional wins in the first round. Shamil Gaziev also has 9 first-round finishes in his career. Gaziev's recent loss was a first-round KO. The stylistic matchup, favoring an aggressive striker in Pericic against a fighter coming off an early KO loss, strongly suggests this fight will not go past the first round, making the 'under 1.5 rounds' a confident pick.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money would likely be on Brando Pericic, particularly for a finish within the first round. His statistical dominance in striking and his proven ability to end fights early make him an attractive pick for those looking for value in a quick stoppage. Line movement: While no initial odds were provided, it is highly probable that if lines were to open, Brando Pericic would be a significant favorite, and any subsequent line movement would likely see his odds shorten further as more money comes in on him, especially for an early finish.