Benjamin Johnston vs Wesley Schultz Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Benjamin Johnston Win

Predicted: Benjamin Johnston by TKO in Round 2

⚡70%

This is a UFC Middleweight bout between Benjamin Johnston and Wes Schultz. Benjamin Johnston (5-1-0) is making his UFC debut on a four-fight winning streak, showcasing a strong Muay Thai background and training with elite fighters like Israel Adesanya. He has a height advantage (6'4" vs 6'1") and has secured multiple submission victories in his regional career, indicating a well-rounded skillset. Wes Schultz (8-3-0), nicknamed 'Party Time', is a wrestling standout who earned his UFC contract via Dana White's Contender Series. However, he suffered a first-round TKO loss in his UFC debut in February 2026, which raises concerns about his striking defense and ability to handle the UFC pressure. His UFC stats also show a 0% takedown defense, though this is based on limited data. Johnston's momentum, striking prowess, and the home country advantage (Perth, Australia) are significant factors. Schultz's wrestling could be a threat, but his recent performance and striking vulnerabilities make Johnston the favored fighter to secure a TKO victory.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Benjamin Johnston (-1.5)

65%

Considering Benjamin Johnston's strong striking background as a Muay Thai specialist and his current four-fight winning streak, coupled with Wes Schultz's recent first-round TKO loss in his UFC debut, Johnston is likely to finish the fight. A spread of -1.5 rounds implies Johnston winning within the first two rounds, which aligns with a TKO prediction against a fighter who has shown vulnerability to strikes early in his UFC career. The home crowd support in Perth, Australia, could also provide an additional boost for Johnston.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 2.5

60%

Given the prediction of a TKO victory for Benjamin Johnston, and Wes Schultz's previous first-round TKO loss in his UFC debut, the fight is likely to end before reaching the judges' scorecards. Johnston's finishing ability (multiple submission wins and a Muay Thai background) combined with Schultz's recent vulnerability to strikes suggests a shorter fight. Therefore, an 'under' 2.5 rounds pick is appropriate, indicating a finish in the first or second round.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money might lean towards Johnston for a finish, particularly by TKO, given Schultz's recent vulnerability. However, if Schultz's wrestling is heavily undervalued, there could be some sharp action on him for a submission or decision win if the odds are wide enough. The lack of prior UFC performance data for Johnston makes him a slight unknown, which could also attract sharp bettors looking for value. Line movement: Without opening odds, it's speculative. However, if Johnston opens as an underdog or a slight favorite, significant money could come in on him, driving his line up. Conversely, if Schultz is a heavy underdog, any early money on him could indicate a belief in his grappling upside, causing his line to shorten.