๐Ÿˆ UFC

Saturday, May 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 21d 6h 22m

Baisangur Susurkaev

Baisangur Susurkaev

vs

Djorden Santos

Djorden Santos

Baisangur Susurkaev Win

AI Confidence: โšก90%

Winner: Baisangur Susurkaev Win (โšก90%)

Spread: Baisangur Susurkaev (-2.5) (โšก85%)

Total: Under 2.5 (โšก75%)

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos Prediction

Baisangur Susurkaev, the undefeated 'Hunter,' is poised for another dominant performance against Djorden Santos at UFC 328. Susurkaev's high finishing rate and superior all-around game make him a strong favorite to maintain his perfect record.

AI-powered prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Baisangur Susurkaev Win

Predicted: Baisangur Susurkaev by KO/TKO in Round 2

โšก90%

Baisangur Susurkaev enters this bout as an undefeated fighter with a perfect 11-0 record, showcasing a high finishing rate with 8 KOs and 1 submission among his wins. His recent UFC performances have been dominant, including a third-round KO against Eric McConico in November 2025 and a second-round submission against Eric Nolan in August 2025. Susurkaev possesses superior striking accuracy (59% vs 44%) and perfect takedown defense (100%) compared to Djorden Santos. While Santos (11-2) has shown durability, going to decision in his last two UFC fights, Susurkaev's power, reach advantage (79" vs 75.5"), and relentless finishing instinct make him a strong favorite. Despite a reported ankle injury before his last fight, Susurkaev still secured a KO victory, indicating his ability to perform under adversity. The fight is likely to end before the final bell, with Susurkaev finding a stoppage in the earlier championship rounds.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Baisangur Susurkaev (-2.5)

85%

Given Baisangur Susurkaev's undefeated record, high finishing rate, and recent dominant performances in the UFC, he is a significant favorite. His ability to finish opponents via KO/TKO or submission, as demonstrated in his last two UFC fights ending in the second and third rounds, suggests he will win decisively. Betting on Susurkaev to win by a significant margin (e.g., inside the distance or a dominant decision) is a confident pick. The implied 'spread' here is that he will not only win but do so convincingly, likely before the judges' scorecards are needed.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 2.5

75%

Baisangur Susurkaev has a strong history of finishing fights, with 9 stoppages in his 11 professional wins. His last two UFC victories ended in the second and third rounds, respectively. While Djorden Santos has shown durability in his recent UFC outings, going to decision in his last two fights, Susurkaev's aggressive style and finishing prowess are likely to lead to a stoppage. The 'under 2.5 rounds' pick anticipates Susurkaev securing a knockout or submission before the midpoint of the third round, leveraging his significant striking and grappling advantages.

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Baisangur SusurkaevStatDjorden Santos
90% โœ…AI Win Probability10%
Baisangur Susurkaeโ€ฆ โœ…Spread85% conf
Under 2.5 โœ…Total75% conf
90% โœ…Model Confidenceโ€”

Betting Angles โ€” Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Sharp money is expected to be on Susurkaev, particularly on prop bets for him to win by KO/TKO or submission, and potentially for the fight to go under a certain round total. The AgentMMA AI model shows 87% confidence in Susurkaev. Line movement: Expect Susurkaev's moneyline odds to shorten as the fight approaches, reflecting confidence in his victory. Prop bets for a finish by Susurkaev might also see increased action.

Model Confidence

โšก90%

Data quality: High. Comprehensive recent fight data, career statistics, and news were available for both fighters, confirming the matchup and their recent form.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific betting odds for the match, requiring assumptions for spread and total picks.
  • โ€ขLimited information on any potential lingering effects of Susurkaev's ankle injury from November 2025, although he made weight without issue.
  • โ€ขNo direct head-to-head historical data between these two fighters.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 9, 2026, at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, which will be held at the Prudential Center in Newark, New New Jersey, United States.