Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Yankees Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

New York Yankees Win

Predicted: 6-3

⚡71%

The New York Yankees, with a strong 8-2 record in their last 10 games, are showing superior recent form compared to the Milwaukee Brewers' 5-5 record in their last 10 outings. Yankees probable starter Cam Schlittler boasts an impressive 4-1 record with a 1.51 ERA and 0.74 WHIP, providing a significant pitching advantage. The Brewers' probable starter Jacob Misiorowski has a 3.56 ERA and 0.231 opponent batting average, indicating a less dominant performance. Furthermore, the Brewers' offense has been hampered by key injuries to Jackson Chourio, Andrew Vaughn, and Christian Yelich, impacting their power, while Yankees slugger Aaron Judge is in excellent form, batting .400 with four home runs and six RBIs in his last seven games. These factors combine to give the Yankees a clear edge in this matchup.

SPREAD PREDICTION

New York Yankees -1.5 (-1.5)

71%

Given Cam Schlittler's strong pitching for the Yankees and the Brewers' offensive struggles exacerbated by injuries, the Yankees are well-positioned to win by more than one run. Aaron Judge's current hot streak also provides a significant boost to the Yankees' scoring potential. While no specific betting lines are available for this game, a -1.5 run line pick for the Yankees aligns with their current form and pitching advantage.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 8.5

71%

With Cam Schlittler's excellent 1.51 ERA and 0.74 WHIP, the Yankees are expected to limit the Brewers' scoring significantly. The Brewers' lineup is also missing key power hitters due to injury, which further suppresses their run-scoring capability. While Jacob Misiorowski for the Brewers has a decent 3.56 ERA, the primary driver for an 'under' pick is the Yankees' strong pitching and the Brewers' offensive woes.

✅ Moneyline: New York Yankees

The Yankees have a strong advantage in starting pitching and offensive momentum, making their moneyline a solid pick. The illustrative odds of 1.70 suggest a higher implied probability than our model's calculated probability, indicating a positive edge if real odds are similar.

✅ Total Runs: Under 8.5

With the Yankees' ace on the mound and the Brewers struggling offensively due to injuries, a low-scoring game is anticipated. The illustrative odds of 1.90 provide a favorable implied probability compared to our model's likelihood of the under hitting.

💰 Sharp Money

Information on sharp money is unavailable for this specific future game. Line movement: Betting lines are not yet available for this May 10, 2026 matchup, so no line movement can be observed.