Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Arizona Diamondbacks Win

Predicted: Arizona Diamondbacks 4 - New York Mets 3

⚡71%

While this specific matchup is not scheduled for May 13, 2026, a hypothetical prediction based on recent form and the most recent series between these two teams suggests a close contest. The Arizona Diamondbacks recently won their series against the New York Mets 2-1 (May 8-10). Arizona's pitching staff has shown a significant turnaround in May, boasting a 2.56 ERA and a streak of seven consecutive starts of at least six innings. Ryne Nelson, the Diamondbacks' probable starter for his team's actual game today, had a decent outing against the Mets on May 10, allowing just one earned run over two hits in a no-decision. The Mets' pitching has also been strong, with Christian Scott (scheduled to pitch for the Mets today) holding a 3.28 ERA. However, both offenses have been struggling, with Arizona batting .188 with a .566 OPS in May. Despite offensive woes, Arizona's recent pitching dominance and their series win against the Mets give them a slight edge in a low-scoring affair.

SPREAD PREDICTION

home (+1.5)

71%

Given the expectation of a close, low-scoring game and Arizona's recent series victory over the Mets, picking the Diamondbacks with a +1.5 run spread offers a reasonable buffer. Their improved pitching should keep the game tight, making it likely they either win outright or lose by a single run. The Mets' offense, while capable of flashes, has been inconsistent, which supports a tighter margin.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 8

66%

Both teams have demonstrated strong pitching recently, and their offenses have been inconsistent. The Diamondbacks' rotation has a 2.56 ERA in May, and the Mets' starting rotation posted a 3.06 ERA early in the season. Arizona's offense has particularly struggled in May, averaging only 3.0 runs per game. With Ryne Nelson having recently held the Mets to one run, and Christian Scott being a capable starter, a low-scoring game is anticipated, making the 'under' a confident pick.

💰 Sharp Money

Without actual betting lines for this specific, unscheduled game, it is impossible to determine sharp money movement. However, in a typical scenario with these teams, sharp money would likely target pitching matchups and recent offensive trends. Line movement: N/A, as no betting lines are available for this unscheduled match.