U.S. Open 2026 Prediction

TOURNAMENT WINNER

Scottie Scheffler

Winner: Scottie Scheffler (-8)

⚡85%

Scottie Scheffler enters the U.S. Open as the clear World No. 1 and betting favorite, displaying incredibly consistent form throughout 2026 with six top-5 finishes in eleven starts, including a win at The American Express. His major championship pedigree is undeniable, having secured two Masters titles, a PGA Championship, and an Open Championship between 2022-2025. Scheffler's complete game, particularly his tee-to-green prowess and ability to thrive on challenging course setups like Shinnecock Hills, positions him perfectly for a U.S. Open victory. His recent 2nd place at the Masters and 3rd at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson underscore his current elite performance.

TOP CONTENDERS

Scottie Scheffler (20%), Rory McIlroy (12%), Jon Rahm (8%)

20%

Scottie Scheffler: Scheffler is the dominant force in golf, with multiple major wins and exceptional consistency in 2026, including a recent win and two other runner-up finishes. Rory McIlroy: McIlroy has shown strong major form this season, including a Masters win and a T7 at the PGA Championship, making him a perennial threat in U.S. Opens. Jon Rahm: Despite his LIV focus, Rahm contended strongly at the PGA Championship with a T2 finish and has a history of U.S. Open success, indicating his ability to perform on the big stage.

FIRST ROUND LEADER

Cameron Young

60%

Cameron Young has demonstrated aggressive play and the ability to go low, particularly evident in his two wins in 2026. His strong tee-to-green game allows him to attack courses early, making him a prime candidate for a hot start at Shinnecock.

⚠️ Outright Winner: Bryson DeChambeau

DeChambeau, a two-time U.S. Open winner, has proven his ability to dominate major championships with his unique blend of power and precision. His odds of 11.00 seem to undervalue his potential on a demanding course where his distance could be a significant advantage, especially with his recent good form leading into the tournament.

✅ Top 10 Finish: Ludvig Åberg

Åberg has quickly established himself as a top talent, with strong performances in 2026. His consistent ball-striking and composure under pressure suggest he's undervalued for a top 10 finish at Shinnecock, offering good value at these odds.

💰 Sharp Money

Appears to be on Scottie Scheffler for outright win and some support for Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm given their major championship experience. Line movement: Scottie Scheffler's odds have seen slight fluctuations but remain strong, while other top contenders like Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have held relatively steady.