๐ŸฅŠ Light HeavyweightRiyadh, Saudi Arabia

Monday, Jun 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Willy Hutchinson

Willy Hutchinson

vs

Craig Richards

Craig Richards

Willy Hutchinson Win

AI Confidence: โšก87%

Winner: Willy Hutchinson Win (โšก87%)

Spread: Hutchinson by Decision (+3) (โšก80%)

Total: Over 10.5 (โšก90%)

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Willy Hutchinson vs Craig Richards Prediction

This is a highly anticipated rematch between two top light heavyweights, Willy Hutchinson and Craig Richards, following Hutchinson's unanimous decision victory in their first encounter on June 1, 2024. Both fighters have been active and successful since then, setting the stage for another competitive bout. Hutchinson's technical prowess and consistent pressure were key in their initial meeting, while Richards' power and resilience remain significant threats.

AI-powered prediction

Willy Hutchinson face Craig Richards at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on Monday, part of the 2026 Light Heavyweight season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

ATS PREDICTION

Willy Hutchinson Win

โšก87%

Willy Hutchinson previously defeated Craig Richards by unanimous decision on June 1, 2024, in Riyadh, demonstrating superior range management and sustained pressure throughout the 12 rounds. Since that fight, Hutchinson has maintained good form, including a unanimous decision win over Ezra Taylor in March 2026 and a TKO victory over Mark Jeffers in October 2025. Richards, while also securing stoppage wins against Padraig McCrory and Dan Azeez in 2025, has shown a tendency to be a slow starter, which Hutchinson capitalized on in their first encounter. Hutchinson's ability to switch stances and control the pace, combined with his recent activity and confidence from the prior win, suggests he will once again outpoint Richards in a competitive but clear decision.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Hutchinson by Decision (+3)

80%

In their previous bout, Hutchinson won by wide margins on the scorecards (119-109, 117-111, 116-112). While Richards has shown power in his recent wins, Hutchinson has proven durable, having only been stopped once early in his career and going the distance with Joshua Buatsi. Hutchinson's consistent work rate and ability to bank early rounds will likely lead to another decision victory, with a round advantage of around 3 rounds reflecting the competitive nature but clear outcome of their first fight.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 10.5

90%

Their first fight went the full 12 rounds, and both fighters have demonstrated the durability to go the distance in tough contests. Richards has never been stopped in his professional career, despite facing high-level opponents like Dmitry Bivol and Joshua Buatsi. Hutchinson also went 12 rounds with Buatsi. Given their previous encounter and their respective recent forms, it's highly probable this rematch would also go to the judges' scorecards, easily surpassing 10.5 rounds.

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๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Method of Victory

Decision

85%

Both fighters are known for their toughness. Richards has never been stopped in his career, and Hutchinson has only one stoppage loss early on. Their first fight went the distance, and given their styles and experience, a decision is the most likely outcome for a rematch.

Total Rounds

Over 10.5 Rounds

90%

The previous fight between Hutchinson and Richards went the full 12 rounds. Both fighters have proven their ability to endure championship rounds against quality opposition, making a prolonged fight highly probable.

Fight to Go Distance

Yes

90%

Craig Richards has never been stopped in his career, and their first fight went the full 12 rounds. Both fighters possess the stamina and chin to see the fight through to the final bell.

๐ŸฅŠ Round Betting

Round Betting

Goes the Distance - Hutchinson by Decision

75%

Considering their previous 12-round unanimous decision, and both fighters' resilience, a decision win for Hutchinson after a full fight is a strong possibility.

Round Group

Rounds 10-12

70%

While the fight is predicted to go the distance, if there were to be a late stoppage, it would likely come in the championship rounds as both fighters tire. However, the primary expectation is a decision.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

Fighter Knockdown

No knockdown

60%

While both fighters have knockout power (Hutchinson 70% KO rate, Richards 65% KO rate), neither was knocked down in their previous 12-round encounter. Richards has never been stopped, indicating a strong chin. While possible, a knockdown is not a high-confidence prediction.

First Fighter to Score

Fighter1

70%

Willy Hutchinson is known for his consistent work rate and ability to establish his jab early, as seen in their first fight where he banked the majority of the early rounds.

Willy Hutchinson vs Craig Richards โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Willy HutchinsonStatCraig Richards
87% โœ…AI Win Probability13%
Unanimous Decision โœ…Method of VictoryGoes the Distance
Over 10.5 โœ…Total Rounds90% conf
Yes โœ…Goes the Distance90% conf
88% โœ…Data Quality Scoreโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Home Ground

โฐ

9:00 PM UTC

Monday, Jun 1

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Light Heavyweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” Willy Hutchinson vs Craig Richards

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

N/A (No odds available for this hypothetical match) Line movement: N/A (No odds available for this hypothetical match)

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Willy Hutchinson vs Craig Richards

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Match Winner: Willy Hutchinson1.91
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes1.91
Method of Victory: Hutchinson by Decision1.91

Combined Odds: 6.97 (+597)

AI Confidence: 82%

$10 โ†’ $69.68 | $25 โ†’ $174.20 | $50 โ†’ $348.39

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ…

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
4/10
  • โš ๏ธRichards' knockout power: Despite losing their first fight, Richards has shown he can finish opponents, especially in later rounds.
  • โš ๏ธRichards' experience: He has faced a higher caliber of opposition throughout his career, including world champions.
  • โš ๏ธHutchinson's potential complacency: Having won the first fight, Hutchinson might underestimate Richards' ability to adapt or land a fight-changing punch.

Data Quality Score

โšก88%

Data quality: High - extensive recent fight data, head-to-head results, and career statistics are available for both fighters.

Limitations

  • โ€ขThis is a hypothetical rematch; actual fight dynamics could differ.
  • โ€ขLack of specific injury or training camp news for a fight not officially scheduled for this date.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Willy Hutchinson vs Craig Richards โ€” FAQ

Yes, Willy Hutchinson defeated Craig Richards by unanimous decision on June 1, 2024, in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Our boxing predictions weigh records, KO percentages, stylistic matchups, reach, age, and weight-class history. Boxing favourites generally win 70-75% of fights; elite-tier title fights tend to stay in the 55-65% confidence band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Boxing Predictions hub.