Monday, May 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 2h 46m
Vasiliy Lomachenko
vs
George Kambosos Jr.
AI Confidence: โก100%
Winner: George Kambosos Jr. Win (โก100%)
Spread: Lomachenko by KO/TKO (+6) (โก100%)
Total: Over 10.5 (โก87%)
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Vasiliy Lomachenko vs George Kambosos Jr. Prediction
This prediction for a hypothetical 2026 rematch between Vasiliy Lomachenko and George Kambosos Jr. is heavily influenced by their definitive encounter on May 11, 2024, where Lomachenko secured an 11th-round TKO. Lomachenko's technical superiority, precise punching, and ability to break down opponents proved too much for Kambosos. While both fighters have had subsequent bouts and developments, the head-to-head dynamic established in 2024 remains the strongest indicator for a future contest.
ATS PREDICTION
George Kambosos Jr. Win
โก100%
This prediction is based on the actual outcome of the Vasiliy Lomachenko vs. George Kambosos Jr. fight that occurred on May 11, 2024. Lomachenko demonstrated superior technical skill, footwork, and punching accuracy throughout the bout, systematically breaking down Kambosos. He secured a dominant 11th-round TKO victory after dropping Kambosos twice with body shots. Given this decisive historical result, a hypothetical rematch on 2026-05-11 would likely see a similar outcome, with Lomachenko's class prevailing once more.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Lomachenko by KO/TKO (+6)
100%
Lomachenko's dominance in their previous encounter, outlanding Kambosos significantly and ultimately stopping him in the 11th round, suggests a substantial advantage. A spread of 6 rounds reflects his ability to control the fight and inflict damage over a prolonged period, leading to a late-round stoppage. Kambosos struggled to land effectively and was visibly outclassed.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 10.5
87%
The previous fight went into the 11th round before Lomachenko secured the TKO. This indicates that while Lomachenko was dominant, Kambosos's toughness allowed him to absorb punishment for a significant portion of the fight. A hypothetical rematch is likely to follow a similar pattern, extending into the championship rounds before a potential stoppage.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
Lomachenko's previous victory over Kambosos was a TKO in the 11th round, achieved through relentless bodywork and superior boxing. His ability to break down opponents over time makes a stoppage victory highly probable in a rematch, especially given Kambosos's recent TKO loss to Hitchins.
Total Rounds
Over 10.5 Rounds
Their last fight exceeded 10.5 rounds, with the stoppage occurring at 2:49 of the 11th. Kambosos is a durable fighter, and while Lomachenko is highly skilled, he often dissects opponents rather than rushing for an early knockout. This suggests the fight will likely go deep into the championship rounds again.
Fight to Go Distance
No
The previous fight did not go the distance, ending in an 11th-round TKO for Lomachenko. Given Lomachenko's continued ability to finish opponents and Kambosos's recent TKO loss, it is highly probable a rematch would also end inside the distance.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Betting
Lomachenko in Round 10-12
Lomachenko's TKO victory in their previous bout came in the 11th round. He tends to increase his output and intensity in the later rounds, having 'downloaded' his opponent's style. Kambosos's resilience means an earlier stoppage is less likely, making the championship rounds a prime target for Lomachenko to finish the fight.
Round Group
Rounds 10-12
The actual fight ended in the 11th round. Lomachenko's style often involves a calculated breakdown of his opponents, leading to finishes in the later stages of fights. Kambosos's toughness, despite being outmatched, allowed him to reach these rounds previously.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter Knockdown
Lomachenko scores knockdown
Lomachenko scored two knockdowns with body shots in the 11th round of their last fight, leading to the stoppage. His precision and power, particularly to the body, make it very likely he would score at least one knockdown in a hypothetical rematch.
First Fighter to Score
Fighter1
Vasiliy Lomachenko (Fighter1) is known for his high volume and accurate punching. In their previous fight, he outlanded Kambosos significantly from early rounds. While Kambosos is aggressive, Lomachenko's ability to dictate the pace and land clean shots suggests he would be the first to score meaningful punches.
Vasiliy Lomachenko vs George Kambosos Jr. โ Key Stats (AI)
Perth, Australia
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Monday, May 11
Matchday kickoff
Vacant IBF Lightweight Title
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Vasiliy Lomachenko vs George Kambosos Jr.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Sharp money would likely be on Lomachenko for a stoppage victory, particularly in the later rounds, given the historical precedent. Line movement: If initial lines were to open, any movement would likely see Lomachenko's odds shorten, especially for a KO/TKO victory, as bettors recall the decisive nature of their first fight.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Vasiliy Lomachenko vs George Kambosos Jr.
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.97 (+597)
AI Confidence: 87%
$10 โ $69.68 | $25 โ $174.20 | $50 โ $348.39
Correlation: POSITIVE โ
Risk Assessment
Low Risk- โ ๏ธAge factor for Lomachenko (38 by 2026, though he showed no signs of significant decline in 2024).
- โ ๏ธKambosos's potential adjustments or improvements under new training (though his recent results don't strongly support this).
- โ ๏ธAny unforeseen injuries or ring rust for Lomachenko given his 2025 injury.
Model Confidence
โก95%
Data quality: High. The prediction is based on the direct historical outcome of the exact matchup, providing extremely relevant and high-quality data.
Limitations
- โขThe primary limitation is that this is a 'prediction' for a fight that has already occurred, framed as a hypothetical rematch on a future date.
- โขFighter form and physical condition can change over two years (between 2024 and 2026), but the core skill differential is expected to remain.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Vasiliy Lomachenko vs George Kambosos Jr. โ FAQ
Yes, Vasiliy Lomachenko and George Kambosos Jr. fought on May 11, 2024, for the vacant IBF Lightweight Title. Lomachenko won by TKO in the 11th round.