๐ŸฅŠ Female Junior MiddleweightNashville, Tennessee

Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 6h 31m

Samantha Marinelli

Samantha Marinelli

vs

Susana Bolanos Lopez

Susana Bolanos Lopez

Susana Bolanos Lopez Win

AI Confidence: โšก87%

Winner: Susana Bolanos Lopez Win (โšก87%)

Spread: Susana Bolanos Lopez -4.5 Rounds (+4.5) (โšก67%)

Total: Over 5.5 (โšก100%)

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Samantha Marinelli vs Susana Bolanos Lopez Prediction

Susana Bolanos Lopez (2-1-0) is favored over Samantha Marinelli (0-4-0) in this female junior middleweight bout scheduled for 6 rounds. Lopez's more active and competitive career, including a recent tough fight against an Olympian, gives her a significant edge over Marinelli, who has been inactive and is yet to secure a professional win.

AI-powered prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Susana Bolanos Lopez Win

Predicted: 118-112

โšก87%

Susana Bolanos Lopez holds a superior professional record of 2-1-0, having gone the distance in all of her bouts, indicating durability and competitive experience. Her most recent fight in September 2025 was a majority decision loss to an Olympian, demonstrating her ability to compete at a higher level despite the loss. Samantha Marinelli, in contrast, has a professional record of 0-4-0, with BoxRec listing her as inactive since 2024 and no knockout victories. Lopez's demonstrated resilience and more active, competitive career against tougher opposition suggest she will control the majority of the rounds in this 6-round junior middleweight contest. Marinelli's winless record and inactivity point to a significant disadvantage in ring rust and overall performance.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Susana Bolanos Lopez -4.5 Rounds (+4.5)

67%

Based on Susana Bolanos Lopez's more favorable professional record and her ability to go the distance in competitive fights, she is expected to win a clear decision. Samantha Marinelli's 0-4 record and lack of knockout power suggest she will struggle to win individual rounds convincingly, making a rounds handicap favoring Lopez a strong pick.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 5.5

100%

Both fighters have a history of their fights going the distance. Susana Bolanos Lopez's two wins and single loss were all decided by the judges' scorecards, and Samantha Marinelli has no knockout victories in her four professional losses. This 6-round bout is highly likely to see the final bell, making the Over 5.5 rounds a very confident selection.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Method of Victory

Susana Bolanos Lopez by Decision/Points

87%

Given Lopez's history of decision victories and Marinelli's lack of knockout power, a decision win for Lopez is the most probable outcome.

Fight to Go the Distance

Yes

100%

Neither fighter has demonstrated significant stopping power, and both have a history of their fights going the full scheduled rounds.

๐ŸฅŠ Round Betting

Round Group Betting

Susana Bolanos Lopez Rounds 4-6

67%

Lopez is noted as a 'slow starter that turns it on late', suggesting she may become more dominant in the latter half of the 6-round fight.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

Will the fight end in a KO/TKO?

No

87%

Samantha Marinelli has a 0% KO ratio, and Susana Bolanos Lopez's professional wins have all come by decision, making a stoppage unlikely.

Either fighter to be knocked down?

No

67%

With neither fighter exhibiting significant knockout power and both showing durability in past bouts, a knockdown is not highly anticipated.

Samantha Marinelli vs Susana Bolanos Lopez โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Samantha MarinelliStatLopez
13% AI Win Probabilityโœ… 87%
Susana Bolanos Lopโ€ฆ โœ…Method of VictorySusana Bolanos Lopโ€ฆ
Over 5.5 โœ…Total Rounds100% conf
Yes โœ…Goes the Distance100% conf
80% โœ…Model ConfidenceMedium
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Nashville, Tennessee

Home Ground

โฐ

9:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, May 5

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Female Junior Middleweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” Samantha Marinelli vs Susana Bolanos Lopez

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

No specific sharp money movements are available, as official betting lines were not widely found for this specific matchup. Line movement: No discernible line movement to report due to the absence of publicly available betting lines for this bout.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Samantha Marinelli vs Susana Bolanos Lopez

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Match Winner: Susana Bolanos Lopez1.45
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes1.30
Method of Victory: Susana Bolanos Lopez by Decision/Points1.70

Combined Odds: 3.20 (+220)

AI Confidence: 67%

$10 โ†’ $32.00 | $25 โ†’ $80.00 | $50 โ†’ $160.00

Correlation: Positive correlation, as Lopez is favored to win by decision, and the fight going the distance supports a decision outcome rather than a stoppage.

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธSamantha Marinelli's true form after reported inactivity could be better or worse than her record suggests.
  • โš ๏ธLimited public information on both fighters' training camps and recent sparring performance.
  • โš ๏ธThe possibility of an unforeseen early stoppage, although unlikely based on records.

Model Confidence

โšก80%

Data quality: Medium

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of comprehensive betting lines (moneyline, spreads, totals) for this specific fight.
  • โ€ขDiscrepancy in Samantha Marinelli's reported professional record from different sources (BoxRec vs. training center website).
  • โ€ขLimited detailed fight breakdowns or performance metrics beyond basic records.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Samantha Marinelli vs Susana Bolanos Lopez โ€” FAQ

Samantha Marinelli's chances are considered low given her 0-4-0 professional record and reported inactivity. Susana Bolanos Lopez has a more established winning record and recent competitive experience.