Monday, May 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 2h 49m
Rhys Edwards
vs
Thomas Patrick Ward
AI Confidence: โก87%
Winner: Rhys Edwards Win (โก87%)
Spread: Edwards by Decision (+3) (โก87%)
Total: Over 9.5 (โก100%)
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Bet Rhys Edwards Win ยท AI confidence 87%
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Rhys Edwards vs Thomas Patrick Ward Prediction
Rhys Edwards is strongly favored to defeat Thomas Patrick Ward in their featherweight rematch. Edwards' previous unanimous decision victory, superior recent form, and effective boxing style position him for another win. The fight is highly likely to go the distance.
ATS PREDICTION
Rhys Edwards Win
โก87%
Rhys Edwards secured a clear unanimous decision victory over Thomas Patrick Ward in their previous encounter in May 2024. Edwards is the younger fighter, demonstrating superior recent form and an adaptable style that effectively neutralizes Ward's boxing and moving approach. His strong jab, footwork, and defensive capabilities proved decisive last time, and there's no indication Ward has significantly evolved to overcome these advantages. Given both fighters' low knockout percentages, the fight is highly likely to go the full scheduled rounds, with Edwards once again outpointing Ward.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Edwards by Decision (+3)
87%
Edwards won their last fight by a wide unanimous decision, with scorecards ranging from 99-91 to 98-92. This indicates a significant round advantage. Given his consistent boxing ability and Ward's lack of a definitive answer in their previous bout, Edwards is expected to win by a similar margin, comfortably taking at least 7-8 rounds.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 9.5
100%
Both fighters have low knockout percentages (Edwards 24%, Ward 15%) and their previous 10-round contest went the distance. Ward has only been stopped once in his career, and Edwards has only 4 KOs in 17 wins. This suggests a high probability of the fight extending into the later rounds, making the 'over 9.5 rounds' a confident pick.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
Decision
The historical data for both fighters, particularly their first fight, strongly suggests a decision victory. Neither fighter possesses one-punch knockout power, and both are durable, making a stoppage unlikely.
Total Rounds
Over 9.5 Rounds
Their last fight went the full 10 rounds, and both fighters have a history of going the distance. With limited knockout power from either side, it's highly probable this rematch will also see the final bell.
Fight to Go Distance
Yes
With Edwards' durability and Ward's lack of stopping power, and their previous fight going the distance, it is highly probable that this rematch will also be decided by the judges.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Betting
Edwards on Points
Given Edwards' previous unanimous decision win and his style, a points victory is the most probable outcome. Predicting a specific round is too speculative, but a decision win for Edwards is well-supported.
Round Group
Goes the Distance
Considering their styles and power, a finish within any specific round group is less likely than the fight reaching the judges' scorecards. Their first encounter supports this, going the full 10 rounds.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter Knockdown
No knockdown
While Ward was dropped once in a previous fight against Jesse Hernandez, neither fighter has a high KO percentage, and their last fight saw no knockdowns. It's more likely this will be a technical boxing match without a knockdown.
First Fighter to Score
Fighter1
Rhys Edwards is known for his quick start and effective jab, which allowed him to control the early rounds in their first fight. He is likely to establish his rhythm and land the first significant punches.
Rhys Edwards vs Thomas Patrick Ward โ Key Stats (AI)
Cardiff, Wales
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Monday, May 11
Matchday kickoff
Featherweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Rhys Edwards vs Thomas Patrick Ward
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Expect sharp money to be on Edwards by decision and the over on rounds, given the clear historical data and stylistic matchup. Line movement: If initial lines are close, expect movement towards Edwards as the favorite, and potentially towards 'fight goes to distance' props.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Rhys Edwards vs Thomas Patrick Ward
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.97 (+597)
AI Confidence: 87%
$10 โ $69.68 | $25 โ $174.20 | $50 โ $348.39
Correlation: POSITIVE โ
Risk Assessment
Low Risk- โ ๏ธBoxing is unpredictable, and a single punch can change the fight.
- โ ๏ธWard's experience could lead to adjustments in a rematch, though his style seems less suited to overcome Edwards.
- โ ๏ธPotential for accidental cuts, which have affected Ward in the past, could lead to an early stoppage (though unlikely).
Model Confidence
โก90%
Data quality: High, with detailed professional records, recent fight results, and head-to-head information available.
Limitations
- โขAbsence of specific injury reports for this exact fight date (though no major injuries were found in general searches).
- โขBoxing can be unpredictable, and a single moment can alter the outcome.
- โขLack of specific odds for this particular match, requiring reliance on historical performance and stylistic analysis.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Rhys Edwards vs Thomas Patrick Ward โ FAQ
Rhys Edwards defeated Thomas Patrick Ward by unanimous decision on May 11, 2024.