Sunday, May 10, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 20h 35m
Raphael Monny
vs
Suray Mahmutovic
AI Confidence: โก87%
Winner: Raphael Monny Win (โก87%)
Spread: Raphael Monny -3.5 (-3.5) (โก87%)
Total: Over 6.5 (โก67%)

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Raphael Monny vs Suray Mahmutovic Prediction
Raphael Monny, an undefeated and recently crowned IBO U-25 World Champion, faces Suray Mahmutovic in an 8-round Light Heavyweight bout at Zuffa Boxing 06. Monny's recent performances indicate strong momentum and finishing ability.
ATS PREDICTION
Raphael Monny Win
Predicted: KO/TKO Round 7
โก87%
Raphael Monny enters this bout with a perfect professional record of 9-0-0, demonstrating consistent dominance and an upward career trajectory. He recently captured the IBO U-25 World Title in November 2025 with a ninth-round knockout victory over George Akoto, highlighting his finishing ability and championship pedigree. Suray Mahmutovic, while possessing a good record of 8-1-1, has shown some vulnerabilities with a professional loss and a majority draw in his career. Monny's recent form, including multiple stoppages in his last five fights, indicates superior momentum and power, making him the stronger contender in this Light Heavyweight clash.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Raphael Monny -3.5 (-3.5)
87%
Monny's undefeated record and recent championship win by knockout suggest he will control the pace and effectively neutralize Mahmutovic. Even if the fight goes to a decision, Monny's consistent work rate and power should allow him to win a clear majority of the rounds. Mahmutovic has been knocked down in a previous fight, indicating he can be hurt.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 6.5
67%
While Raphael Monny has demonstrated knockout power, Suray Mahmutovic has proven his ability to go the distance in several of his fights, including a four-round draw where he absorbed a knockdown. This 8-round bout is likely to see action into the later rounds before a potential stoppage or decision, pushing it over the 6.5 round mark.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Total Rounds
Over 6.5 Rounds
Both fighters have shown durability, and while Monny has KO power, Mahmutovic has gone the distance, suggesting the fight will likely extend into the later rounds.
Method of Victory
Raphael Monny by KO/TKO or Decision
Monny possesses the power to stop Mahmutovic, but Mahmutovic's resilience means a decision victory is also a strong possibility for Monny.
Fight to Go the Distance
No
Monny's recent KO finishes and Mahmutovic's past knockdown indicate a moderate chance of the fight not going the full 8 rounds.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Group Betting
Raphael Monny to win in Rounds 5-8
Given Monny's ability to wear down opponents and secure late stoppages, a win in the second half of the 8-round fight is a plausible outcome.
๐ Fighter Props
Fight Winner
Raphael Monny
Monny's undefeated record and recent title win make him the clear favorite to win this fight.
Raphael Monny vs Suray Mahmutovic โ Key Stats (AI)
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Sunday, May 10
Matchday kickoff
Light Heavyweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Raphael Monny vs Suray Mahmutovic
โ Fight Winner: Raphael Monny
Raphael Monny's undefeated record and recent U-25 World Title victory by knockout demonstrate his superior skill and current form, making him a strong favorite. The model probability of 88% suggests significant value if odds are available around 1.30.
โ Method of Victory: Raphael Monny by KO/TKO
Monny has secured several knockout victories recently, including his last fight for the U-25 World Title. Mahmutovic has shown vulnerability by being knocked down in a past fight, creating an opportunity for Monny to finish inside the distance. This bet offers good value given Monny's power.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Given Monny's strong form and undefeated record, sharp money would likely be placed on him to win, particularly if favorable odds were to emerge for a stoppage victory. Line movement: Without initial betting lines, it's impossible to predict specific line movement. However, should lines open, they would likely shorten on Monny as the fight approaches, reflecting confidence in his performance.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Raphael Monny vs Suray Mahmutovic
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 5.36 (+436)
AI Confidence: 67%
$10 โ $53.60 | $25 โ $134.00 | $50 โ $268.00
Correlation: Positive correlation, as Monny winning by KO/TKO implies a dominant performance that would likely extend beyond the early rounds.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธPotential for a 'puncher's chance' upset from Mahmutovic, despite Monny's strong record.
- โ ๏ธAny unforeseen fight-day circumstances or tactical adjustments from Mahmutovic.
- โ ๏ธThe inherent unpredictability of boxing, where one significant strike can change the fight's outcome.
Model Confidence
โก85%
Data quality: High
Limitations
- โขLack of direct, real-time betting lines for this specific fight, requiring hypothetical odds for value bets.
- โขLimited detailed tactical analysis or recent training camp news for either fighter beyond general records and fight outcomes.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Raphael Monny vs Suray Mahmutovic โ FAQ
Raphael Monny holds an undefeated professional boxing record of 9 wins, 0 losses, and 0 draws.