Nurislom Ismoilov vs Lupakisyo Shoti Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Nurislom Ismoilov Win

Predicted: 118-110

⚡87%

Nurislom Ismoilov is a strong favorite with significantly lower odds across multiple bookmakers. His professional record of 23 wins indicates a solid background, although his low 13.04% knockout rate suggests he primarily wins by decision. Lupakisyo Shoti, despite his recent IBO International Championship win in November 2025, is a considerable underdog. Ismoilov's technical boxing and ability to go the distance are expected to secure him a comfortable victory on the judges' scorecards, likely by a wide margin.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Nurislom Ismoilov -7.5 (-7.5)

80%

Ismoilov's status as a dominant favorite with low KO power suggests he will win most rounds clearly. A -7.5 round spread reflects his expected superiority in technical boxing and control of the fight, leading to a wide points victory where he wins at least 8 more rounds than his opponent.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 10.5

75%

Given Ismoilov's low 13.04% KO percentage and Shoti's recent IBO championship win, which implies durability and ability to last, it is highly probable the fight will extend beyond 10.5 rounds. The betting odds for 'Over 10.5 rounds' also suggest this is the more favored outcome.

✅ Total Rounds: Over 10.5

Nurislom Ismoilov's track record shows a propensity for decision victories (only 3 KOs in 39 bouts), suggesting he is more likely to outbox opponents than stop them. Lupakisyo Shoti's recent IBO title win implies he possesses the durability to withstand a full fight, making the 'Over 10.5 rounds' a good value bet.

✅ Method of Victory: Nurislom Ismoilov by Decision or Technical Decision

With Ismoilov being a strong favorite and having a very low knockout percentage, a victory via judges' decision is his most probable path to success. The estimated odds for this specific outcome present a slight edge compared to its implied probability.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money is likely concentrated on Nurislom Ismoilov across all major sportsbooks, contributing to his extremely short odds. Line movement: The moneyline for Nurislom Ismoilov is expected to remain stable or shorten slightly, reflecting consistent backing, while Lupakisyo Shoti's odds may drift further out.