๐ŸฅŠ Super WelterweightPhuket, Thailand

Saturday, May 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 4d 13h 44m

Magomed Kurbanov

Magomed Kurbanov

vs

Tonghui Li

Tonghui Li

Magomed Kurbanov Win

AI Confidence: โšก87%

Winner: Magomed Kurbanov Win (โšก87%)

Spread: Magomed Kurbanov -6.5 (-6.5) (โšก87%)

Total: Over 8.5 (โšก87%)

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Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li Prediction

Magomed Kurbanov is expected to secure a decisive victory over Tonghui Li in their Super Welterweight contest. Kurbanov's experience and higher-level competition should allow him to control the pace and accumulate rounds, likely leading to a points decision. Li's recent form is mixed, with a regional title win but also a recent loss, and he is stepping up in class.

AI-powered prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Magomed Kurbanov Win

Predicted: Magomed Kurbanov by Unanimous Decision

โšก87%

Magomed Kurbanov (26-2, 14 KOs) is the more experienced fighter, having faced a higher caliber of opposition throughout his career, including former world title contenders and champions [cite: 1, 19 (from previous step)]. Despite recent losses to Israil Madrimov and Pavel Sosulin, these came against strong competition. Kurbanov exhibits good boxing skills and toughness, as shown in his decision wins against Liam Smith and Michel Soro [cite: 1, 8 (from previous step), 17 (from previous step)]. Tonghui Li (15-2, 9 KOs) has a decent record and recently secured a regional title via TKO, but his overall opponent quality appears to be lower [cite: 5, 13 (from previous step)]. Kurbanov's ability to go the distance and his resilience suggest he will outbox Li over the championship rounds.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Magomed Kurbanov -6.5 (-6.5)

87%

Given Magomed Kurbanov's superior experience against higher-tier opponents and his tendency to win by decision, a points handicap is a reasonable pick. He has demonstrated the ability to control fights and accumulate rounds effectively, often securing wide margins on the scorecards, as seen in previous bouts. Tonghui Li, while having a good knockout ratio, has not shown the consistent ability to dominate top-level competition for extended periods.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 8.5

87%

Magomed Kurbanov's fights average around 7.1 rounds, and he has gone the distance in many of his notable victories. While he has knockout power, Li also has a respectable knockout ratio, suggesting he can absorb punishment. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds, and both fighters have shown durability, making it likely to go past the midway point.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Will the Fight Go the Distance?

Yes

67%

Both fighters have demonstrated a capacity to go deep into fights. Kurbanov has many decision wins, and while Li has a good KO ratio, he's facing a durable opponent. The average duration of Kurbanov's fights also points towards a decision outcome.

Magomed Kurbanov Total Rounds Over/Under

Over 7.5

67%

This market aligns with the expectation of a decision victory for Kurbanov, meaning he would still be fighting past the 7.5 round mark. His opponents are often durable, and he doesn't always seek an early finish.

Round of Victory (Kurbanov)

Round 9 or 10

55%

If Kurbanov is to get a late stoppage, it will likely be in the later rounds as Li tires and Kurbanov's consistent pressure breaks him down. This offers a higher payout for a less probable but plausible outcome.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

To Win Fight

Magomed Kurbanov

100%

Magomed Kurbanov is clearly the more accomplished and higher-ranked fighter, with a strong professional record against tougher opposition. Tonghui Li represents a step down in competition compared to Kurbanov's recent opponents. Kurbanov's boxing skills and experience should be decisive.

Tonghui Li to be Knocked Down

Yes

65%

Kurbanov possesses solid power, and even if he doesn't secure a stoppage, landing significant shots to score a knockdown against Li is a reasonable possibility during the course of a long fight.

Either Fighter to Win by KO/TKO

No

60%

While both fighters have knockout power, Kurbanov's recent fights against quality opposition have often gone the distance. Li also has shown resilience, making a stoppage less probable than a decision.

Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Magomed KurbanovStatTonghui Li
87% โœ…AI Win Probability13%
Decision โœ…Method of Victoryโ€”
Over 8.5 โœ…Total Rounds87% conf
Yes โœ…Goes the Distance67% conf
85% โœ…Model ConfidenceHigh
๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Phuket, Thailand

Home Ground

โฐ

9:00 PM UTC

Saturday, May 9

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Super Welterweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li

โœ… Method of Victory: Magomed Kurbanov by Decision/Technical Decision

Kurbanov has a track record of winning by decision against tough opponents. His power is respectable, but Li has also shown durability. This market offers good value considering the likelihood of Kurbanov outboxing Li over the distance.

โœ… Round Group Betting: Magomed Kurbanov to win in Rounds 7-10

While a decision is more likely, if Kurbanov secures a stoppage, it's often later in the fight as his opponents wear down. Li has shown resilience, suggesting an early stoppage is less probable, but Kurbanov's consistent pressure could lead to a late TKO.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Not enough data for sharp money insights, as specific betting lines for this fight are not widely available. Line movement: No line movement data available as specific odds for this fight were not found.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
To Win Fight: Magomed Kurbanov1.20
Will the Fight Go the Distance?: Yes1.60
Magomed Kurbanov by Decision/Technical Decision: Yes1.50

Combined Odds: 2.88 (+188)

AI Confidence: 67%

$10 โ†’ $28.80 | $25 โ†’ $72.00 | $50 โ†’ $144.00

Correlation: Positive - Kurbanov winning by decision strongly implies the fight goes the distance.

Risk Assessment

Medium Risk
4/10
  • โš ๏ธTonghui Li's knockout power, though less proven at this level.
  • โš ๏ธAny unexpected fatigue or performance dip from Kurbanov following a period of challenging fights.
  • โš ๏ธThe potential for a controversial decision if the fight is very close.

Model Confidence

โšก85%

Data quality: High

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of direct betting lines for this specific fight, requiring hypothetical odds generation.
  • โ€ขSlight discrepancy in Tonghui Li's most recent record details between sources.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Magomed Kurbanov vs Tonghui Li โ€” FAQ

Magomed Kurbanov holds a professional record of 26 wins, 2 losses, and 0 draws, with 14 of his victories coming by way of knockout.