Monday, May 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 2h 47m
Lewis Edmondson
vs
Joel McIntyre
AI Confidence: โก100%
Winner: Lewis Edmondson Win (โก100%)
Spread: Edmondson by KO/TKO (+4) (โก87%)
Total: Under 9.5 (โก87%)
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Lewis Edmondson vs Joel McIntyre Prediction
Lewis Edmondson is a strong favorite to defeat Joel McIntyre in their light heavyweight rematch. Edmondson's youth, superior record, and recent form, coupled with McIntyre's age and recent TKO losses, point towards a decisive victory for 'The Saint'.
ATS PREDICTION
Lewis Edmondson Win
โก100%
Lewis Edmondson previously defeated Joel McIntyre by points, and since then, McIntyre has shown a decline in durability, suffering multiple TKO losses. Edmondson is younger, has a superior recent record, and possesses the tactical ability to break down McIntyre. Given McIntyre's recent stoppages and Edmondson's consistent pressure, a KO/TKO victory for Edmondson is highly probable in the later rounds as McIntyre's age and wear become more apparent. Edmondson's ability to switch stances and box cleverly will allow him to find openings.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Edmondson by KO/TKO (+4)
87%
Edmondson's previous points victory over McIntyre, combined with McIntyre's subsequent TKO losses, suggests Edmondson has the tools to finish the fight earlier this time. A 4-round advantage for Edmondson by KO/TKO reflects his superior form, age, and McIntyre's recent vulnerability to stoppages.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Under 9.5
87%
While their previous encounter went the distance (8 rounds), McIntyre's recent TKO losses indicate a decreased ability to withstand punishment. Edmondson, being the younger and more in-form fighter, will likely capitalize on this, leading to a stoppage before the championship rounds. Therefore, the fight is expected to go under 9.5 rounds.
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๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
KO/TKO
Joel McIntyre's recent fight history includes multiple TKO losses, indicating a decline in his ability to absorb punishment. Lewis Edmondson's consistent pressure and tactical approach make a KO/TKO victory a strong possibility in this rematch.
Total Rounds
Under 9.5 Rounds
Considering McIntyre's recent TKO defeats and Edmondson's youthful aggression, the fight is unlikely to go the full 12 rounds. A stoppage before the 10th round is a reasonable expectation, making 'Under 9.5 Rounds' a solid pick.
Fight to Go Distance
No
Despite their first fight going the distance, McIntyre's subsequent TKO losses strongly suggest he is more susceptible to a stoppage now. Edmondson's current form and strategic fighting style will likely lead to a finish before the final bell.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Betting
Edmondson in Round 7-9
Edmondson is known for his intelligent boxing and ability to wear opponents down. Against an aging McIntyre who has shown vulnerability in later rounds, Edmondson is likely to find the decisive blow in the middle to late rounds, specifically between rounds 7 and 9.
Round Group
Rounds 7-9
McIntyre has shown resilience but also a tendency to fade and get stopped in the later stages of fights against quality opposition. Edmondson's methodical approach should allow him to break McIntyre down and secure a stoppage within this round grouping.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter Knockdown
Lewis Edmondson scores knockdown
Given McIntyre's recent TKO losses, it's highly probable that Edmondson will be able to score at least one knockdown during the fight as he applies pressure and lands significant shots.
First Fighter to Score
Fighter1
Lewis Edmondson is known for his sharp jab and tactical approach, allowing him to establish control early in fights. While McIntyre is a come-forward fighter, Edmondson's ability to box cleverly should see him land the first significant punches.
Lewis Edmondson vs Joel McIntyre โ Key Stats (AI)
Cardiff, Wales
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Monday, May 11
Matchday kickoff
Light Heavyweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Lewis Edmondson vs Joel McIntyre
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Sharp money would likely be on Edmondson to win by KO/TKO, given the recent trends in McIntyre's performances. Line movement: If odds were available, the line would likely move further in favor of Edmondson by KO/TKO as the fight approaches, especially if there's any further news confirming McIntyre's declining durability.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Lewis Edmondson vs Joel McIntyre
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.97 (+597)
AI Confidence: 87%
$10 โ $69.68 | $25 โ $174.20 | $50 โ $348.39
Correlation: POSITIVE โ
Risk Assessment
Low Risk- โ ๏ธMcIntyre's 'puncher's chance' due to his power.
- โ ๏ธEdmondson's recovery from his hip injury (though the fight date suggests full recovery).
- โ ๏ธThe possibility of McIntyre employing a highly defensive strategy to survive, as he did in their first encounter.
Model Confidence
โก90%
Data quality: High, with recent fight records, age, and previous head-to-head results readily available.
Limitations
- โขLack of specific training camp news or very recent injury updates for the exact fight date (May 11, 2026).
- โขAbsence of official betting odds to compare against model probabilities.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Lewis Edmondson vs Joel McIntyre โ FAQ
This is a rematch from May 11, 2024, where Lewis Edmondson defeated Joel McIntyre by an 8-round points decision. This provides valuable insight into their styles and how they match up, with Edmondson having proven he can overcome McIntyre.