Thursday, Apr 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
Predicted
Leila Beaudoin
Actual
Leila Beaudoin 100-90
Leila Beaudoin
vs
Victoria Bustos
AI Confidence: โก85%
Winner: Leila Beaudoin Win (โก85%)
Spread: Beaudoin by Decision (+3) (โก80%)
Total: Over 8.5 (โก90%)
Leila Beaudoin vs Victoria Bustos Prediction
Leila Beaudoin is strongly favored to defeat Victoria Bustos in their junior lightweight bout. Beaudoin's youth, activity, and slightly superior physical attributes, combined with Bustos' lack of knockout power and recent decline, point to a clear decision victory for the Canadian. Bustos' renowned durability means the fight is highly likely to go the distance.
ATS PREDICTION
Leila Beaudoin Win
โก85%
Leila Beaudoin enters this fight with a significant advantage in youth, recent form, and power. Victoria Bustos, while highly experienced and a former world champion, has shown a decline in recent performances and notably lacks knockout power, with a 0% KO ratio. Beaudoin's consistent activity and ambition for another world title shot will drive her to control the fight, landing cleaner shots and accumulating rounds. Bustos' durability will likely see her through to the final bell, but Beaudoin's superior work rate and effective aggression will secure a clear decision victory.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Beaudoin by Decision (+3)
80%
Given Bustos' history of going the distance, even against elite opponents, and her 0% KO rate, a decision victory for Beaudoin is the most probable outcome. Beaudoin's consistent output and ability to win rounds will lead to a comfortable points margin, likely winning at least 7-8 rounds out of 10, translating to a spread of 3 rounds or more.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 8.5
90%
Victoria Bustos is known for her toughness and ability to absorb punishment, having gone the distance with multiple world champions. Leila Beaudoin, while having some stoppages, is not a concussive puncher with only 2 KOs in 13 wins. This combination strongly suggests the fight will go the full 10 rounds, making the 'over 8.5 rounds' a highly confident pick.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
Points
Victoria Bustos' professional record shows zero knockouts in 36 fights, indicating extreme durability but no offensive stopping power. Leila Beaudoin's knockout percentage is low (13%), suggesting she's more of a boxer-puncher who wins on points. Therefore, a decision victory for either fighter, most likely Beaudoin, is the overwhelming probability.
Total Rounds
Over 9.5 Rounds
Considering Bustos' iron chin and history of going the distance against top-tier opposition, and Beaudoin's relatively low KO percentage, it's highly probable this fight will go the full 10 rounds. Betting 'Over 9.5 Rounds' accounts for this strong likelihood.
Fight to Go Distance
Yes
Victoria Bustos has never been stopped in her professional career, even against powerful world champions. Leila Beaudoin, while a capable boxer, has a low knockout ratio. All signs point to this fight going the full scheduled rounds.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Betting
Beaudoin in Rounds 7-10 (Decision)
While Beaudoin is expected to win, Bustos' resilience means an early stoppage is unlikely. Beaudoin will likely build a lead throughout the fight, securing the victory on the judges' scorecards after a strong performance in the later rounds, but not necessarily a stoppage.
Round Group
Rounds 10-12 (Goes the Distance)
Given Bustos' incredible durability and Beaudoin's tendency to win by decision, the fight is highly expected to go the full scheduled distance. This pick reflects the strong probability of the fight concluding in the championship rounds via judges' scorecards.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter Knockdown
No knockdown
Neither fighter is known for significant one-punch knockout power. Bustos has zero KOs in her career, and Beaudoin's KO percentage is low. While boxing is unpredictable, the statistical likelihood of a knockdown in this particular matchup is relatively low.
First Fighter to Score
Fighter1
Leila Beaudoin is expected to be the more active and aggressive fighter from the outset, establishing her jab and combination punching early. This consistent pressure will likely lead to her landing the first significant scoring punches of the bout.
Leila Beaudoin vs Victoria Bustos โ Key Stats (AI)
Betting Angles โ Leila Beaudoin vs Victoria Bustos
โ Leila Beaudoin to win by Decision: Leila Beaudoin by Decision
The model's probability for Beaudoin winning by decision is significantly higher than the implied probability from the hypothetical odds, indicating strong value given Bustos' durability and Beaudoin's boxing style.
โ Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
Bustos has an iron chin and has never been stopped. Beaudoin is not a heavy hitter. The fight going the distance is a very high probability, offering good value even at lower odds.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Sharp money is likely to be on Beaudoin by decision and the fight going the distance, given the statistical profiles of both fighters and Bustos' proven durability. Line movement: Given the current information and the fight being today, any significant line movement would have already occurred. However, if initial odds were closer, the line would have moved towards Beaudoin as the favorite and towards the 'over' on total rounds.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Leila Beaudoin vs Victoria Bustos
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.97 (+597)
AI Confidence: 80%
$10 โ $69.68 | $25 โ $174.20 | $50 โ $348.39
Correlation: POSITIVE โ
Risk Assessment
Low Risk- โ ๏ธBustos' immense experience could lead to tactical adjustments.
- โ ๏ธBeaudoin could potentially get frustrated if she cannot hurt Bustos, leading to a less dominant performance than expected.
- โ ๏ธJudges' scoring in close rounds could be a factor, though Beaudoin is expected to win clearly.
Model Confidence
โก88%
Data quality: High - comprehensive records, recent fight details, weigh-in results, and expert analysis were available.
Limitations
- โขSpecific injury reports for the immediate fight were not found, assuming both fighters are healthy.
- โขDetailed stylistic breakdowns beyond general tendencies were not explicitly available in search results.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Leila Beaudoin vs Victoria Bustos โ FAQ
The fight is part of the DAZN card starting at 22:30:00.000Z UTC on April 9, 2026. Specific ring walk times for Beaudoin vs. Bustos will depend on the preceding fights on the undercard.