๐ŸฅŠ Super LightweightEco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC

Game starts in 4d 14h 5m

Kian Hamilton

Kian Hamilton

vs

Les Urry

Les Urry

Kian Hamilton Win

AI Confidence: โšก87%

Winner: Kian Hamilton Win (โšก87%)

Spread: Kian Hamilton -2.5 Rounds (-2.5) (โšก67%)

Total: Over 3.5 (โšก87%)

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Kian Hamilton vs Les Urry Prediction

Kian Hamilton, the local fighter, is favored to win his second professional bout against Les Urry. Hamilton's undefeated record and hometown support are key advantages. The fight is expected to go the distance, with Hamilton likely securing a decision victory.

AI-powered prediction

Kian Hamilton face Les Urry at Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom on Saturday, part of the 2026 Super Lightweight season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

ATS PREDICTION

Kian Hamilton Win

Predicted: 118-112

โšก87%

Kian Hamilton, fighting in his hometown of Doncaster, holds an undefeated professional record of 1-0, having made a successful debut in March 2026. His amateur background is solid, with three Yorkshire belts, and he brings a 'pro style' focused on defense and counter-punching to the ring. Les Urry, with a record of 2-3-1, has more professional experience but a losing record. While Urry is known for his toughness, Hamilton's momentum, home advantage, and the confidence from his recent debut suggest he will control the pace and secure a victory on points in this four-round contest. Hamilton's disciplined approach is likely to earn him the majority of the rounds.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Kian Hamilton -2.5 Rounds (-2.5)

67%

Given Kian Hamilton's undefeated start (1-0) and the significant home advantage in Doncaster, he is expected to outperform Les Urry (2-3-1) over the four rounds. A -2.5 rounds spread implies Hamilton is predicted to win at least three out of the four rounds convincingly on the scorecards, a likely outcome given his technical style and Urry's less consistent record. This pick reflects confidence in Hamilton's ability to dictate the fight and secure a clear decision.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 3.5

87%

Both Kian Hamilton (1-0) and Les Urry (2-3-1) are early in their professional careers, and their BoxRec records indicate a low knockout percentage (0% for both, although Urry had a strong debut which might have included a stoppage). This super lightweight bout is scheduled for only four rounds. Fights at this level and duration frequently go the distance, making an 'Over 3.5 Rounds' pick highly probable as neither fighter has demonstrated consistent early stoppage power.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Method of Victory

Kian Hamilton by Decision

87%

Given that both fighters have low knockout percentages early in their careers and it's a four-round bout, a decision victory for the favored Kian Hamilton is the most probable outcome. He's expected to outbox Urry over the rounds.

Will the Fight Go the Distance?

Yes

87%

Four-round professional boxing matches, especially at the super lightweight division for developing fighters, very frequently end in a decision. Neither fighter has a notable history of stoppages in their early careers.

Round Betting (Fight to go the distance)

Fight to go to points

87%

Aligning with the 'Over 3.5 Rounds' pick, the most common outcome for a four-round professional boxing match is for it to be decided by the judges' scorecards, rather than a knockout or technical knockout.

๐ŸฅŠ Round Betting

Round Group Betting

Kian Hamilton to Win in Points or Decision

67%

This market combines a Hamilton victory with the most likely method of victory. His 'pro style' and focus on outboxing opponents align well with winning by decision.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

To Score a Knockdown

Neither Fighter

65%

While a knockdown is always possible, the low KO percentages and the 'over' expectation for rounds suggest that a knockdown by either fighter is not a highly probable event in this particular matchup.

Kian Hamilton vs Les Urry โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Kian HamiltonStatLes Urry
87% โœ…AI Win Probability13%
Kian Hamilton by Dโ€ฆ โœ…Method of VictoryKian Hamilton to Wโ€ฆ
Over 3.5 โœ…Total Rounds87% conf
Yes โœ…Goes the Distance87% conf
79% โœ…Model ConfidenceMedium

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom

Home Ground

โฐ

9:15 PM UTC

Saturday, May 16

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Super Lightweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” Kian Hamilton vs Les Urry

โœ… Moneyline: Kian Hamilton to Win

Hamilton's undefeated record and home advantage make him a strong favorite against Urry, who has a losing record. The odds of 1.30 present good value given Hamilton's higher perceived probability of winning.

โœ… Total Rounds: Over 3.5 Rounds

This is a four-round fight between two relatively new professionals, both with low knockout rates according to their BoxRec profiles. The likelihood of the fight going the distance is high, making 'Over 3.5 Rounds' a strong value bet.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Without specific betting data, it's challenging to identify sharp money movement. However, in fights with a clear favorite due to record and home advantage, sharp bettors often look for value in props or potential upset scenarios if the favorite's odds are too short. Line movement: No initial betting lines were found for this specific undercard bout. If lines were to emerge, one would anticipate Kian Hamilton's odds to shorten closer to fight night, reflecting public and professional confidence in the hometown fighter.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Kian Hamilton vs Les Urry

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Moneyline: Kian Hamilton to Win1.30
Total Rounds: Over 3.5 Rounds1.50
Method of Victory: Kian Hamilton by Decision1.80

Combined Odds: 3.51 (+251)

AI Confidence: 67%

$10 โ†’ $35.10 | $25 โ†’ $87.75 | $50 โ†’ $175.50

Correlation: Positive correlation, as Hamilton winning by decision strongly implies the fight will go over 3.5 rounds and Hamilton will win.

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
3/10
  • โš ๏ธLimited professional experience for both fighters could lead to unpredictable moments
  • โš ๏ธLack of detailed current form analysis and specific betting market data
  • โš ๏ธAny unexpected tactical adjustments or power shots from Urry could cause an upset

Model Confidence

โšก79%

Data quality: Medium

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of explicit betting lines and detailed fight previews for this specific undercard bout
  • โ€ขLimited professional fight history for Kian Hamilton (1-0)
  • โ€ขReliance on general boxing knowledge for odds and market predictions

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Kian Hamilton vs Les Urry โ€” FAQ

Kian Hamilton currently holds a professional boxing record of 1 win and 0 losses. He made his successful professional debut in March 2026, winning his first bout.

Our boxing predictions weigh records, KO percentages, stylistic matchups, reach, age, and weight-class history. Boxing favourites generally win 70-75% of fights; elite-tier title fights tend to stay in the 55-65% confidence band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Boxing Predictions hub.