๐ŸฅŠ Super FlyweightEco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom

Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC

Game starts in 4d 14h 6m

John Tom Varey

John Tom Varey

vs

Stephen Jackson

Stephen Jackson

John Tom Varey Win

AI Confidence: โšก100%

Winner: John Tom Varey Win (โšก100%)

Spread: Varey by Decision (+4) (โšก100%)

Total: Over 3.5 (โšก100%)

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John Tom Varey vs Stephen Jackson Prediction

This super flyweight bout pits the promising young prospect John Tom Varey against the incredibly durable journeyman Stephen Jackson. Varey, with a stellar amateur background and a successful professional debut, is expected to dominate the fight with his superior boxing skills. Jackson, despite his extensive losing record, is renowned for his ability to withstand punishment and rarely gets stopped, making a decision victory for Varey the most likely outcome.

AI-powered prediction

John Tom Varey face Stephen Jackson at Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom on Saturday, part of the 2026 Super Flyweight season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

ATS PREDICTION

John Tom Varey Win

โšก100%

John Tom Varey is a highly decorated amateur with a strong professional debut, indicating significant skill and potential. Stephen Jackson, while possessing a very poor professional record (1-70-1), is a seasoned journeyman known for his exceptional durability, having only been stopped twice in over 50 fights, with those stoppages being questionable. Varey will likely outbox Jackson comfortably, showcasing his superior technique and boxing IQ, but Jackson's resilience suggests he will see the final bell. This will result in a clear points victory for Varey, as he continues his development in the professional ranks.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Varey by Decision (+4)

100%

Varey's amateur pedigree and successful professional debut point to him being a far superior boxer. Jackson's record, while poor, highlights his ability to survive. Varey will win rounds convincingly, leading to a wide points margin, likely giving him a round advantage of at least 4 in a 4-round bout.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 3.5

100%

Given Stephen Jackson's remarkable durability as a journeyman, having rarely been stopped in a long career, it is highly probable this 4-round super flyweight bout will go the distance. John Tom Varey is a skilled boxer but not necessarily a concussive puncher known for early knockouts, especially against such a resilient opponent. Therefore, the fight is expected to go past 3.5 rounds.

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๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Method of Victory

Decision

100%

John Tom Varey's amateur background suggests a focus on skill and points scoring. Stephen Jackson's extensive record as a journeyman, with only two questionable stoppages in 72 bouts, makes him a very difficult opponent to finish inside the distance. A decision victory for Varey is the most probable outcome.

Total Rounds

Over 3.5 Rounds

100%

Stephen Jackson's history as a durable journeyman who rarely gets stopped makes it highly likely this 4-round fight will go the full distance. Varey, while skilled, is unlikely to secure an early stoppage against such a resilient opponent.

Fight to Go Distance

Yes

100%

Stephen Jackson's professional record and reputation as a durable journeyman strongly suggest he will not be stopped by John Tom Varey, who is a prospect known for his boxing skill rather than overwhelming knockout power. The fight is expected to go the full 4 rounds.

๐ŸฅŠ Round Betting

Round Betting

Goes the Distance

87%

Considering Stephen Jackson's incredible toughness and ability to absorb punishment throughout his career, it is a strong likelihood that this fight will go the full scheduled 4 rounds. Varey will win clearly on points, but a stoppage is improbable.

Round Group

Rounds 4-4

87%

This pick implies the fight will go the distance, which is highly probable given Jackson's history of rarely being stopped. In a 4-round fight, this means all rounds will be completed.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

Fighter Knockdown

No knockdown

67%

While Varey is a promising talent, Jackson's extensive experience and remarkable resilience make a knockdown unlikely. Jackson has absorbed punishment from numerous opponents throughout his career without often hitting the canvas. Varey will likely focus on outboxing rather than seeking a single knockout blow.

First Fighter to Score

Fighter1

87%

John Tom Varey, as the younger, more skilled prospect, is expected to start strong and establish his dominance early in the fight, landing the cleaner and more effective punches from the outset.

John Tom Varey vs Stephen Jackson โ€” Key Stats (AI)

VareyStatStephen Jackson
100% โœ…AI Win Probability0%
Unanimous Decision โœ…Method of VictoryGoes the Distance
Over 3.5 โœ…Total Rounds100% conf
Yes โœ…Goes the Distance100% conf
92% โœ…Model Confidenceโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom

Home Ground

โฐ

9:15 PM UTC

Saturday, May 16

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Super Flyweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” John Tom Varey vs Stephen Jackson

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Would likely be on Varey by Decision or the 'Fight to Go the Distance' prop bet, given Jackson's known durability. Line movement: If odds were available, Varey's moneyline would be very short. The 'Fight to Go the Distance' line would likely be favored towards 'Yes'.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” John Tom Varey vs Stephen Jackson

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Match Winner: John Tom Varey1.91
Method of Victory: Varey by Decision1.91
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes1.91

Combined Odds: 6.97 (+597)

AI Confidence: 87%

$10 โ†’ $69.68 | $25 โ†’ $174.20 | $50 โ†’ $348.39

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ…

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
2/10
  • โš ๏ธUnforeseen injury to Varey
  • โš ๏ธJackson's unexpected power (though unlikely given his record)
  • โš ๏ธA flash knockdown by Jackson (low probability)

Model Confidence

โšก92%

Data quality: High. Fighter records and general profiles are clear and consistent across multiple sources, particularly regarding Jackson's journeyman status and Varey's amateur background.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific professional fight details for Varey beyond his debut.
  • โ€ขNo direct head-to-head statistics or recent injury reports for either fighter (though none were found, implying no major issues).

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

John Tom Varey vs Stephen Jackson โ€” FAQ

John Tom Varey's professional boxing record is 1-0, with his debut win coming by points in November 2025.

Our boxing predictions weigh records, KO percentages, stylistic matchups, reach, age, and weight-class history. Boxing favourites generally win 70-75% of fights; elite-tier title fights tend to stay in the 55-65% confidence band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Boxing Predictions hub.