Saturday, Apr 18, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC
Game starts in 1d 9h 6m
Elon Dejesus
vs
Connor Adaway
AI Confidence: โก75%
Winner: Connor Adaway Win (โก75%)
Spread: Connor Adaway -1.5 Rounds (-1.5) (โก70%)
Total: Over 7.5 (โก75%)
Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway Prediction
Connor Adaway is favored to win this Junior Featherweight bout against Elon Dejesus, primarily due to his slightly superior professional record and age advantage. The fight is expected to be competitive and likely go the distance, with Adaway securing a decision victory. Dejesus's experience, however, could lead to a closer contest than the odds suggest.
ATS PREDICTION
Connor Adaway Win
Predicted: 115-113
โก75%
Connor Adaway is the betting favorite and holds a slight advantage in his professional record with 10 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, compared to Elon Dejesus's 17 wins, 7 losses, and 2 draws. Adaway is also the younger fighter at 27 years old and possesses a slight height advantage. While Dejesus has more experience, Adaway's higher win percentage and consistency are expected to secure him a close decision victory. The moderate knockout rates of both fighters suggest the bout will likely go the distance.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Connor Adaway -1.5 Rounds (-1.5)
70%
Given that Connor Adaway is favored to win by decision, a handicap of -1.5 rounds is a reasonable pick, implying he will win at least two more rounds than Dejesus. His cleaner record and slightly better knockout percentage suggest he'll be effective in controlling the rounds, even if a knockout doesn't occur.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 7.5
75%
Both Elon Dejesus and Connor Adaway have moderate knockout rates (Dejesus ~30%, Adaway 40%). Dejesus has also shown durability in past fights, including a controversial majority draw where he went the distance. This indicates a strong likelihood that the fight will go to the judges' scorecards, favoring the 'over' on rounds.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
Connor Adaway by Decision
Given the 'over' rounds prediction and Adaway's status as the favorite, a victory by decision is the most probable outcome for him, rather than an early knockout.
Will the fight go the distance?
Yes
Based on the fighters' records and observed durability, especially Dejesus's, the fight is strongly predicted to last all scheduled rounds.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Group Betting
Connor Adaway Rounds 7-8
If the fight goes the distance (8 rounds), Adaway is expected to finish strong, securing the latter rounds for a decision win.
๐ Fighter Props
Total KOs
Under 1.5
With both fighters having moderate knockout rates and the expectation for the fight to go the distance, it's highly unlikely there will be multiple knockdowns resulting in KOs. A single KO or no KOs is more probable.
Winning Margin
Connor Adaway by 2-4 points
Considering a close decision is anticipated, Adaway is likely to win by a narrow margin on the scorecards, accumulating a small lead over Dejesus.
Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway โ Key Stats (AI)
Infosys Theater at Madison Square Garden, New York, New York, USA
Home Ground
2:00 AM UTC
Saturday, Apr 18
Matchday kickoff
Junior Featherweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway
โ ๏ธ Moneyline: Connor Adaway
While Connor Adaway is already the favorite, his slightly superior record, age, and consistent performance suggest a marginally higher probability of victory than implied by the current odds of 1.67. This offers a small but positive edge.
โ ๏ธ Fight to Go the Distance: Yes
Given both fighters' moderate knockout percentages and Elon Dejesus's demonstrated resilience in previous bouts, including a fight that went to a controversial draw, it is highly probable this contest will reach the judges' scorecards.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
No specific information regarding sharp money movements was identified in the available search results. Line movement: Betting lines have remained relatively stable, with Connor Adaway maintaining his status as the favorite across multiple platforms since the odds became available.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.13 (+513)
AI Confidence: 70%
$10 โ $61.30 | $25 โ $153.25 | $50 โ $306.50
Correlation: These legs are highly positively correlated. If Connor Adaway wins by decision, it implicitly means the fight goes the distance, and he is the winner. This parlay combines the most probable outcomes for the favorite.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธLimited detailed recent fight-by-fight results for both fighters beyond BoxRec records, making in-depth form analysis challenging.
- โ ๏ธElon Dejesus's extensive experience and history of competitive, sometimes controversial, decisions could lead to an upset or very close fight.
- โ ๏ธThe Junior Featherweight division often features technical and close bouts, increasing the potential for a split decision.
Model Confidence
โก70%
Data quality: Medium
Limitations
- โขLimited access to specific recent detailed fight performance data (e.g., opponent quality, recent KOs/decisions) beyond overall BoxRec records for both fighters.
- โขAbsence of explicit betting lines for 'Total Rounds' or 'Method of Victory' from all queried sources, requiring estimations for some markets.
- โขLack of specific news regarding potential injuries or last-minute lineup changes for either fighter.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Elon Dejesus vs Connor Adaway โ FAQ
Connor Adaway is currently favored to win the junior featherweight bout against Elon Dejesus, with most bookmakers listing him with lower odds.