Dzmitry Asanau vs Roger Gutierrez Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Dzmitry Asanau Win

Predicted: Asanau wins by TKO in Round 7

+1.06 FanDuel

⚡87%

Dzmitry Asanau enters this bout undefeated with a strong amateur pedigree and a professional record of 12-0 (6 KOs). He has recently secured two regional lightweight titles, showcasing dominant performances including a third-round KO against Laid Douadi in September 2025 and a fifth-round TKO against Matias Rueda in November 2024. In contrast, Roger Gutierrez, despite being a former world champion, is on a significant losing streak, having lost his last four fights, including a TKO8 loss to Otar Eranosyan in August 2023 and unanimous decision losses in 2024 and 2025. Asanau's power, speed, and momentum, combined with Gutierrez's recent struggles and vulnerability to stoppages, make Asanau the overwhelming favorite to secure a victory, likely inside the distance.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Dzmitry Asanau by KO/TKO (-7.5)

85%

Asanau has shown significant finishing power in his recent title fights, stopping two of his last three opponents. Gutierrez has been TKO'd recently and has shown declining form. The -7.5 spread is a hypothetical round handicap representing the expected dominance, meaning if it went to the cards, Asanau would win by at least 8 rounds, but the more likely outcome is a stoppage before that becomes relevant.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 8.5

80%

Given Asanau's knockout power and Gutierrez's recent TKO loss and overall poor form, it is highly probable the fight will not go the distance. Asanau has finished fights in the third and fifth rounds recently, suggesting he can end it relatively early against a fading opponent.

✅ Method of Victory: Dzmitry Asanau by KO/TKO

Asanau has a 50% KO ratio and is facing a fighter who has been stopped and is in poor recent form. The odds for a KO/TKO win offer better value than the outright moneyline, as it's the most probable outcome given the match dynamics.

✅ Fight Goes the Distance: No

With Asanau's punching power and Gutierrez's recent losses, including a TKO, it is highly likely this fight will not go the full scheduled rounds.

💰 Sharp Money

Indications are that sharp money is heavily on Asanau, driving his moneyline odds extremely low, suggesting confidence in his victory. Line movement: Asanau's odds have remained consistently very low across multiple bookmakers, suggesting stable and strong support for him, while Gutierrez is a significant underdog.