Sunday, May 3, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC
Game starts in 7d 18h 27m
Deok No Yun
vs
Yuito Moriwaki
AI Confidence: โก87%
Winner: Yuito Moriwaki Win (โก87%)
Spread: Yuito Moriwaki -1.5 Rounds (-1.5) (โก87%)
Total: Over 8.5 (โก67%)

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Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki Prediction
This Super Middleweight title rematch between Deok No Yun and Yuito Moriwaki is set to be a highly anticipated clash after their controversial injury technical draw in December 2025. Moriwaki, an Olympian, showed impressive skill and led on the scorecards in their first bout, while Yun, the champion, possesses significant knockout power.
ATS PREDICTION
Yuito Moriwaki Win
Predicted: Moriwaki by Decision (96-94)
โก87%
Yuito Moriwaki showed a significant edge in their previous encounter in December 2025, scoring a knockdown and leading on the scorecards before the fight was controversially stopped due to an injury to Deok No Yun from an accidental headbutt. Moriwaki, a former Olympian, has expressed confidence, stating he is approaching this rematch with a 'this time is different' mindset. While Deok No Yun is a powerful puncher with an 80% KO ratio and holds the OPBF & WBO Asia Pacific Super Middleweight titles, Moriwaki's performance in their first fight suggests a technical and strategic advantage. If Moriwaki can maintain his composure and avoid headbutts, his superior boxing skills are likely to earn him a decision victory over the ten rounds.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Yuito Moriwaki -1.5 Rounds (-1.5)
87%
Based on Moriwaki's strong showing in their previous bout where he was leading on the judges' scorecards before the stoppage, he demonstrated a clear ability to win rounds against Yun. A -1.5 rounds spread implies he needs to win by at least two more rounds than Yun, which is a reasonable expectation given his technical proficiency and momentum from their last fight.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 8.5
67%
Their last fight ended in an injury technical draw in the fourth round, but both fighters showed resilience. This is a championship rematch, implying a high level of competition where both fighters will be cautious but determined. Given the stakes and their previous competitive rounds, it's likely they will go deeper into the fight, potentially going the distance or ending in the later rounds, making the 'over 8.5 rounds' a plausible outcome.
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๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
Yuito Moriwaki by KO/TKO/DQ
While Moriwaki scored a knockdown in the first fight, Yun has a high KO resistance despite his two losses. A decision win is more probable for Moriwaki, but a late stoppage isn't entirely out of the question if he can wear Yun down.
Fight to Go the Distance
Yes
Both fighters have shown durability, and a rematch for a title often results in a more cautious and tactical approach from both sides, increasing the likelihood of the fight going to the judges' scorecards.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Group Betting
Yuito Moriwaki Rounds 7-10
If Moriwaki takes control and the fight goes past the mid-rounds, his technical skills could lead to a stoppage or a clear points advantage in the later stages, especially if Yun begins to fatigue.
๐ Fighter Props
First Fighter to Bleed
Deok No Yun
Yun suffered a significant cut from a headbutt in their previous encounter, which led to the stoppage. This indicates a potential vulnerability to cuts in a close-quarters fight.
Any Knockdown in Fight
Yes
Moriwaki scored a knockdown in their first fight, demonstrating his power and ability to hurt Yun. Given Yun's power as well, another knockdown from either side is a high probability.
Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki โ Key Stats (AI)
Tokyo, Japan
Home Ground
7:00 AM UTC
Sunday, May 3
Matchday kickoff
Super Middleweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki
โ Moneyline: Yuito Moriwaki
Moriwaki was outperforming Yun in their previous bout, even scoring a knockdown, suggesting he is slightly undervalued by hypothetical odds that might favor the champion too heavily based purely on record.
โ Method of Victory: Yuito Moriwaki by Decision
Given Moriwaki's technical approach and previous performance where he was leading on points, a decision victory is a strong possibility. Yun's durability, despite Moriwaki's knockdown, suggests the fight is likely to go the distance if Moriwaki maintains control.
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Information on 'sharp money' movement for this specific fight is not readily available. However, given the nature of the previous stoppage, sharp bettors might be looking for value on Moriwaki by decision. Line movement: Without initial lines, specific movement is impossible to track. Assuming standard opening, any significant movement might come from late news on training camps or further analysis of the controversial first fight.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 5.51 (+451)
AI Confidence: 67%
$10 โ $55.10 | $25 โ $137.75 | $50 โ $275.50
Correlation: Positive correlation exists as Moriwaki winning by decision (which implies going the distance) is a strong scenario given his previous performance, and a knockdown occurring again is plausible given the power both fighters possess and Moriwaki's previous knockdown.
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธThe subjective nature of judging in boxing, especially in a close fight.
- โ ๏ธPotential for another accidental headbutt or injury affecting the fight's outcome prematurely.
- โ ๏ธDeok No Yun's significant knockout power could change the fight at any moment.
Model Confidence
โก85%
Data quality: Medium
Limitations
- โขLimited direct betting odds for this specific rematch made it necessary to infer probabilities.
- โขDiscrepancies in Yuito Moriwaki's overall professional record across different sources, though the details of the previous fight against Yun are clear.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Deok No Yun vs Yuito Moriwaki โ FAQ
Their first encounter in December 2025 ended in an injury technical draw in the fourth round. Yuito Moriwaki scored a knockdown and was leading on the judges' scorecards when the fight was stopped due to a severe cut above Deok No Yun's right eye, caused by an accidental headbutt.