Darius Fulghum vs Yoanki Urrutia Prediction

ATS PREDICTION

Darius Fulghum Win

Predicted: 97-93

⚡87%

Darius Fulghum, the 'home' fighter, boasts a strong professional record of 14-1-1 with an impressive 86% knockout ratio. His recent performances, despite a draw against David Stevens and a decision loss to Bektemir Melikuziev, demonstrate his high-level competition and ability to go the distance. Yoanki Urrutia (17-2, 7 KOs) has a respectable record, but his 41.18% KO ratio and two recent decision losses, including one to Ryan Adams in October 2025, suggest a less dominant finishing ability and a susceptibility to accumulating damage over rounds. Fulghum's amateur pedigree and significant power, coupled with Urrutia never being stopped in his professional career, point towards a hard-fought decision for Fulghum, who will likely control the pace and land the more impactful shots.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Darius Fulghum -6.5 (-6.5)

87%

Given Fulghum's higher KO percentage and general dominance in his wins, he is expected to win a significant number of rounds. While Urrutia is durable and has not been stopped, Fulghum's superior power and aggression should allow him to clearly outscore Urrutia over 10 rounds, comfortably covering a -6.5 spread on the scorecards.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Over 8.5

67%

Yoanki Urrutia has a history of going the distance, having never been stopped in his two professional losses. Darius Fulghum, while possessing significant knockout power, has also gone to decision in his recent draw and loss, indicating his opponents can withstand his power in longer fights. This 10-round super middleweight bout is likely to extend into the later rounds, making the 'over 8.5 rounds' a favorable pick.

✅ Method of Victory: Darius Fulghum by Decision/Technical Decision

Fulghum has immense power, but Urrutia has never been stopped in his career. Given Urrutia's resilience and Fulghum's recent fights going to the scorecards, a decision win for Fulghum offers good value, as the implied probability from the odds is lower than our model's probability, anticipating Urrutia's ability to survive the full 10 rounds.

✅ Fight to Go the Distance: Yes

Both fighters have demonstrated the ability to go deep into fights. Urrutia's perfect record against stoppages and Fulghum's recent decision outcomes make it highly probable that this fight will reach the judges' scorecards, creating an edge on the 'Yes' for fight to go the distance.

💰 Sharp Money

Sharp money may lean towards Fulghum by decision or on the 'over' for rounds, recognizing Urrutia's durability despite Fulghum's power. Smart bettors will likely avoid predicting a quick knockout for Fulghum given Urrutia's robust chin. Line movement: Assuming initial lines open with Fulghum as a clear favorite, there might be slight movement on 'Fight to go the Distance - Yes' as more bettors analyze Urrutia's resilience and Fulghum's recent tendency to go to the cards in longer fights.