Saturday, May 16, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 3h 38m
Ben Fail
vs
Dean Sutherland
AI Confidence: 35%
Winner: Ben Fail Win (35%)
Spread: Ben Fail -4.5 (-4.5) (30%)
Total: Over 8.5 (40%)

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Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland Prediction
The scheduled Super Welterweight bout on May 16, 2026, is widely reported as 'Carl Fail vs Dean Sutherland', not 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland'. This prediction is thus a hypothetical assessment of a 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' matchup. Ben Fail would enter with an undefeated record and recent TKO victory, while Dean Sutherland brings significant experience but also a recent knockout loss. Ben Fail's physical advantages and power would likely make him the favorite in a hypothetical contest.
Ben Fail face Dean Sutherland at Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom on Saturday, part of the 2026 Super Welterweight season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.
ATS PREDICTION
Ben Fail Win
Predicted: 116-112
35%
Search results indicate that a fight between 'Ben Fail' and 'Dean Sutherland' on May 16, 2026, is not explicitly confirmed. Multiple sources identify 'Carl Fail' as Dean Sutherland's opponent for that date. This prediction is therefore hypothetical, based on the individual merits of Ben Fail and Dean Sutherland. Ben Fail holds an undefeated record of 11 wins with 6 KOs and recently secured a TKO victory in February 2026, demonstrating strong current form and knockout power. Dean Sutherland has a more extensive professional record of 21 wins, 2 losses, and 7 KOs, but suffered a first-round knockout loss in March 2025 before a more recent points win in March 2026. Ben Fail also possesses a reach and height advantage as a southpaw, which could be a factor in controlling distance. Sutherland's experience is significant, but Fail's undefeated momentum and power against a fighter who has been stopped raise his hypothetical chances. The low confidence reflects the unconfirmed nature of this specific bout.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Ben Fail -4.5 (-4.5)
30%
Given the unconfirmed nature of 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' for May 16, 2026, any spread pick is highly speculative. Assuming this hypothetical matchup, Ben Fail's undefeated record (11-0 with 6 KOs) and recent TKO win suggest he would be favored. His punching power and height/reach advantage could allow him to control the fight and accumulate rounds. However, Dean Sutherland's greater experience (21-2 with 7 KOs) and ability to go the distance in many of his fights would make a wider spread risky. The spread of -4.5 points anticipates Fail winning by a clear, but not dominant, margin on the scorecards.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 8.5
40%
This pick is based on a hypothetical matchup, as 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' is not confirmed for May 16, 2026. Ben Fail has demonstrated knockout power with 6 KOs in 11 wins, including a recent TKO. Dean Sutherland, while having 7 KOs in 21 wins, has a lower KO percentage and has gone the distance in many of his bouts. While Sutherland did suffer a quick KO loss in March 2025, his more recent victory was by points. Both fighters are capable, suggesting a competitive fight that could extend into the later rounds. Therefore, the fight hypothetically going over 8.5 rounds seems plausible, especially if Fail's power doesn't connect cleanly early or Sutherland's experience allows him to weather early storms.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory (Hypothetical)
Ben Fail by Decision/Technical Decision
Given Ben Fail's undefeated record and Dean Sutherland's experience in going the distance, a hypothetical decision win for Fail is plausible. While Fail has knockout power, Sutherland's chin, aside from the Walsh fight, has generally held up over a longer career.
Will the Fight Go the Distance? (Hypothetical)
Yes
In a hypothetical scenario, Sutherland's experience suggests he can withstand early pressure, and Fail, while powerful, might not find an early stoppage against a seasoned opponent. This makes a decision outcome more likely than a short stoppage.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Group Betting (Hypothetical)
Ben Fail Rounds 7-10
This is highly speculative due to the unconfirmed nature of the fight. If Ben Fail were to stop Sutherland, it might be in the mid-to-late rounds as he breaks down his more experienced opponent, should Sutherland's defense hold up initially.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter to Be Knocked Down (Hypothetical)
Dean Sutherland
Dean Sutherland suffered a first-round KO in March 2025. Hypothetically, against an undefeated power-puncher like Ben Fail, there's a possibility of him being knocked down again, although it's highly speculative.
Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland โ Key Stats (AI)
No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.
Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster, United Kingdom
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Saturday, May 16
Matchday kickoff
Super Welterweight
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland
๐ฐ Sharp Money
No sharp money trends can be identified for a non-confirmed bout between Ben Fail and Dean Sutherland for May 16, 2026. Line movement: There is no observable line movement as betting lines for 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' on this specific date do not appear to exist.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 5.61 (+461)
AI Confidence: 25%
$10 โ $56.10 | $25 โ $140.25 | $50 โ $280.50
Correlation: Positive, as a decision win for Ben Fail naturally correlates with the fight going the distance. The overall confidence is low due to the unconfirmed nature of the bout.
Risk Assessment
High Risk- โ ๏ธThe primary risk is that 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' is not the confirmed matchup for May 16, 2026, with 'Carl Fail vs Dean Sutherland' being the widely reported fight.
- โ ๏ธLack of specific fight-week information (injuries, weight, recent camp details) for a non-confirmed bout for Ben Fail.
- โ ๏ธThe speculative nature of assigning odds and market insights without actual bookmaker lines for this exact fight.
Model Confidence
20%
Data quality: Low
Limitations
- โขThe prediction is highly speculative due to the requested fight ('Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' on May 16, 2026) not being confirmed by search results; information points to 'Carl Fail vs Dean Sutherland'.
- โขLack of specific, direct news, betting lines, or recent form data pertaining directly to a Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland matchup for the specified date.
- โขReliance on individual fighter records and general form rather than direct head-to-head analysis.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland โ FAQ
Search results primarily indicate that 'Carl Fail' is scheduled to fight Dean Sutherland on May 16, 2026. There is no specific confirmation for a 'Ben Fail vs Dean Sutherland' bout on that date.
Our boxing predictions weigh records, KO percentages, stylistic matchups, reach, age, and weight-class history. Boxing favourites generally win 70-75% of fights; elite-tier title fights tend to stay in the 55-65% confidence band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Boxing Predictions hub.