Monday, May 11, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Game starts in 5d 2h 47m
Andrew Moloney
vs
Pedro Guevara
AI Confidence: โก87%
Winner: Andrew Moloney Win (โก87%)
Spread: Moloney by Decision (+2) (โก87%)
Total: Over 10.5 (โก100%)
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Bet Andrew Moloney Win ยท AI confidence 87%
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Andrew Moloney vs Pedro Guevara Prediction
This is a highly anticipated rematch for the vacant WBC Interim Junior Bantamweight Title between Andrew Moloney and Pedro Guevara. Guevara won their previous encounter by split decision in May 2024. Moloney, fighting at home, is seeking redemption after claiming a bicep injury in their first bout and has shown strong form since unretiring. Guevara's recent record includes a TKO loss and two draws, suggesting a slight dip in his peak performance.
ATS PREDICTION
Andrew Moloney Win
โก87%
Andrew Moloney enters this rematch with a strong desire to avenge his previous split-decision loss to Pedro Guevara, a fight he claims he fought with a torn bicep. His subsequent two stoppage wins demonstrate renewed form and confidence. While Guevara is a tough, experienced former champion, his recent record of a TKO loss and two draws suggests he might be slightly past his absolute peak. Moloney's home advantage in Perth, combined with his likely improved physical condition and motivation, should allow him to control the pace and secure a clear decision victory in a competitive fight.
SPREAD PREDICTION
Moloney by Decision (+2)
87%
Given their previous close encounter and Moloney's improved form and motivation, he is expected to win by decision. A spread of 2 rounds reflects the anticipated competitive nature of the fight, but with Moloney doing enough to clearly win more rounds.
TOTAL PREDICTION
Over 10.5
100%
Both fighters are highly experienced and durable, having gone the distance in many of their fights, including their previous 12-round encounter. While Moloney has recent stoppages, Guevara has only been stopped once in his career. This fight for an interim title is expected to be a tactical battle that goes the full 12 rounds.
๐ More Markets
๐ฅ Fight Outcome
Method of Victory
Decision
Their first fight went the distance, and both fighters possess good chins and defensive skills. While Moloney has recent KOs, Guevara is tough to finish, making a decision victory the most probable outcome.
Total Rounds
Over 10.5 Rounds
Considering their previous 12-round bout and their overall career durability, it is highly likely this fight will extend into the championship rounds, going over 10.5 rounds.
Fight to Go Distance
Yes
Their first fight went the full 12 rounds, and both fighters have proven their ability to endure. Given the stakes and their experience, a tactical battle to the final bell is highly probable.
๐ฅ Round Betting
Round Betting
Moloney by Decision
Moloney is expected to win on points. Predicting a specific round for a decision is not applicable, but this pick aligns with the overall decision prediction.
Round Group
Rounds 10-12
If the fight goes to a decision, as predicted, the later rounds will be crucial for scoring. Both fighters are known for their stamina, and the fight is expected to be competitive throughout, with a strong finish from Moloney.
๐ Fighter Props
Fighter Knockdown
No knockdown
While both fighters have knockout power, their previous encounter did not feature a knockdown. Both are durable, and in a high-stakes rematch, they are likely to be cautious, making a knockdown less probable.
First Fighter to Score
Fighter1
Moloney, fighting at home and seeking redemption, is expected to start strong and try to establish control early. This gives him a slight edge in landing the first significant punches.
Andrew Moloney vs Pedro Guevara โ Key Stats (AI)
Perth, Australia
Home Ground
9:00 PM UTC
Monday, May 11
Matchday kickoff
Vacant WBC Interim Junior Bantamweight Title
Boxing
Betting Angles โ Andrew Moloney vs Pedro Guevara
๐ฐ Sharp Money
Sharp money might look for value on Moloney by decision, considering his stated injury in the first fight and his subsequent resurgence. There could also be interest in the 'fight goes the distance' market due to both fighters' durability. Line movement: Given the lack of initial odds, the line would likely open with Moloney as a slight favorite. If Moloney's recent training camp news is positive, we might see the line move further in his favor. Conversely, any strong reports from Guevara's camp could tighten the odds.
AI Same Game Parlay โ Andrew Moloney vs Pedro Guevara
๐ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP
3-LegCombined Odds: 6.97 (+597)
AI Confidence: 67%
$10 โ $69.68 | $25 โ $174.20 | $50 โ $348.39
Correlation: POSITIVE โ
Risk Assessment
Medium Risk- โ ๏ธThe previous fight was a split decision, indicating a very close contest that could swing either way again.
- โ ๏ธGuevara's experience in championship fights could allow him to manage the rounds effectively.
- โ ๏ธMoloney's past injury could still be a factor, or his performance might not be as dominant as his recent opponents suggest.
- โ ๏ธJudges' scoring in close fights can be unpredictable.
Model Confidence
โก88%
Data quality: High, comprehensive fighter records, recent fight results, and head-to-head information were available.
Limitations
- โขNo specific news or injury updates for this exact May 11, 2026 fight were found, relying on general recent form.
- โขThe impact of Moloney's previous bicep injury on his current condition is an assumption based on his statements and subsequent performance.
- โขThe subjective nature of judging in boxing, especially in close fights.
This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.
Andrew Moloney vs Pedro Guevara โ FAQ
This fight is a rematch for the vacant WBC Interim Junior Bantamweight Title, a belt Pedro Guevara previously won against Andrew Moloney by split decision in May 2024. It's a chance for Moloney to avenge his loss and for Guevara to solidify his claim to the title.