๐ŸฅŠ MiddleweightCounty Coliseum, El Paso, Texas

Saturday, May 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Game starts in 4d 12h 33m

Alexis Chaparro

Alexis Chaparro

vs

Edward Ulloa Diaz

Edward Ulloa Diaz

Alexis Chaparro Win

AI Confidence: โšก100%

Winner: Alexis Chaparro Win (โšก100%)

Spread: Chaparro by KO/TKO (+3) (โšก88%)

Total: Under 6.5 (โšก85%)

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Alexis Chaparro vs Edward Ulloa Diaz Prediction

Alexis Chaparro is heavily favored to win this middleweight bout against Edward Ulloa Diaz. Chaparro's undefeated record, significant power, and youth are expected to be too much for the veteran Diaz, who has shown a decline in recent performances. A knockout victory for Chaparro is the most probable outcome.

AI-powered prediction

Alexis Chaparro face Edward Ulloa Diaz at County Coliseum, El Paso, Texas on Saturday, part of the 2026 Middleweight season. Both fighters' recent records, methods of victory, and stylistic matchup factors are detailed alongside the prediction below.

ATS PREDICTION

Alexis Chaparro Win

โšก100%

Alexis Chaparro enters this fight as an undefeated, powerful prospect with a significant age and reach advantage over Edward Ulloa Diaz. Chaparro boasts an impressive 85.71% KO ratio and has shown aggressive, quick-handed boxing with a strong jab in recent bouts. Diaz, while experienced, has a recent record of losses against quality opposition, indicating a decline in form. Chaparro's youth, power, and momentum are expected to overwhelm Diaz.

SPREAD PREDICTION

Chaparro by KO/TKO (+3)

88%

Alexis Chaparro's high knockout percentage and aggressive style suggest he will be looking for an early finish. Given Edward Ulloa Diaz's recent struggles and his history of being stopped, Chaparro is likely to secure a KO/TKO victory within the first half of the scheduled 8 rounds. The spread of 3 rounds reflects Chaparro's ability to dominate and finish fights decisively.

TOTAL PREDICTION

Under 6.5

85%

Considering Alexis Chaparro's impressive knockout power (6 KOs in 7 fights) and Edward Ulloa Diaz's recent form, which includes losses and a potential susceptibility to stoppages, this fight is unlikely to go the distance. Chaparro's aggressive approach and ability to finish opponents early make an 'under 6.5 rounds' pick a strong possibility.

๐Ÿ“Š More Markets

๐ŸฅŠ Fight Outcome

Method of Victory

KO/TKO

90%

Alexis Chaparro's primary weapon is his power, with 6 of his 7 wins coming by knockout. Edward Ulloa Diaz has shown vulnerability in recent fights, making a KO/TKO victory for Chaparro the most probable outcome.

Total Rounds

Under 6.5 Rounds

85%

Chaparro's finishing ability combined with Diaz's recent form points to a shorter fight. Chaparro has demonstrated the capacity to end fights within the first few rounds, making the 'Under 6.5 Rounds' a confident pick.

Fight to Go Distance

No

88%

With Alexis Chaparro's high KO ratio and Edward Ulloa Diaz's recent losses, a finish before the final bell is highly anticipated. Chaparro's style is geared towards stoppages, and Diaz has been stopped before.

๐ŸฅŠ Round Betting

Round Betting

Alexis Chaparro in Round 4-6

80%

While Chaparro has early knockout power, Diaz's experience might allow him to weather an initial storm. However, Chaparro's sustained pressure and power are likely to break down Diaz in the middle rounds, leading to a stoppage between rounds 4 and 6.

Round Group

Rounds 4-6

82%

This aligns with the expectation of Chaparro's power eventually overwhelming Diaz after a few rounds of feeling out or initial resistance. Chaparro's previous stoppage wins also fall within this range.

๐Ÿ“Š Fighter Props

Fighter Knockdown

Alexis Chaparro scores knockdown

90%

Chaparro's significant power and aggressive style make a knockdown highly probable. Given Diaz's recent struggles and the power differential, it's very likely Chaparro will drop him at some point in the fight.

First Fighter to Score

Fighter1

85%

Alexis Chaparro, as the younger, more aggressive fighter with a strong jab and quick hands, is expected to establish his offense early and land the first significant blows.

Alexis Chaparro vs Edward Ulloa Diaz โ€” Key Stats (AI)

Alexis ChaparroStatDiaz
100% โœ…AI Win Probability0%
KO/TKO โœ…Method of VictoryRound 4-6
Under 6.5 โœ…Total Rounds85% conf
No Goes the Distanceโœ… 88% conf
90% โœ…Data Quality Scoreโ€”

No recent head-to-head meetings on record for this matchup.

๐ŸŸ๏ธ

County Coliseum, El Paso, Texas

Home Ground

โฐ

9:00 PM UTC

Saturday, May 30

Matchday kickoff

๐ŸฅŠ

Middleweight

Boxing

Betting Angles โ€” Alexis Chaparro vs Edward Ulloa Diaz

๐Ÿ’ฐ Sharp Money

Given Chaparro's prospect status and dominant record, sharp money would likely be on Chaparro by KO/TKO and potentially on the 'under' for total rounds. Line movement: Without initial odds, it's hard to track movement, but if lines were to open, expect Chaparro to be a heavy favorite, with the line potentially moving further in his favor as fight day approaches.

AI Same Game Parlay โ€” Alexis Chaparro vs Edward Ulloa Diaz

๐Ÿ”ฅ RECOMMENDED SGP

3-Leg
Match Winner: Alexis Chaparro1.91
Method of Victory: Alexis Chaparro by KO/TKO1.91
Total Rounds: Under 6.5 Rounds1.91

Combined Odds: 6.97 (+597)

AI Confidence: 87%

$10 โ†’ $69.68 | $25 โ†’ $174.20 | $50 โ†’ $348.39

Correlation: POSITIVE โœ…

Risk Assessment

Low Risk
2/10
  • โš ๏ธAny unforeseen injury to Chaparro not reported in public domain.
  • โš ๏ธDiaz's veteran experience potentially allowing him to absorb punishment and extend the fight unexpectedly.
  • โš ๏ธA 'puncher's chance' for Diaz, though less likely given Chaparro's defensive capabilities.

Data Quality Score

โšก90%

Data quality: High. Detailed professional records, recent fight results, and fighter characteristics were readily available from reputable boxing databases and news sources.

Limitations

  • โ€ขLack of specific training camp news or recent injury reports for either fighter.
  • โ€ขAbsence of direct head-to-head metrics or shared opponents for a more precise comparison.
  • โ€ขNo official betting odds provided, limiting value bet identification.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.

Alexis Chaparro vs Edward Ulloa Diaz โ€” FAQ

The fight is scheduled for May 30, 2026, at the County Coliseum in El Paso, Texas.

Our boxing predictions weigh records, KO percentages, stylistic matchups, reach, age, and weight-class history. Boxing favourites generally win 70-75% of fights; elite-tier title fights tend to stay in the 55-65% confidence band. See the full methodology and other matches on our AI Boxing Predictions hub.