🐎Horse RacingClass 2

Support Macmillan Charity Raceday On 13 June Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

York · 14:55 (UK local)

Friday, 15 May 2026

1m 2f 56y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £60,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Warrant Holder (IRE)

J: W Buick · T: J & T Gosden

Unexposed and progressive, winning his last start over 1m 2f. Comes from the red-hot Gosden stable (24% strike rate) with top jockey W Buick, and the first-time tongue tie could spark further improvem…

②P2 pick32%

Thunder Run (IRE)

J: C Lee · T: K R Burke

A proven course and distance winner, having won this very race last season off the exact same mark. He has a good record second time out after a break, suggesting he can improve significantly on his l…

③P3 pick25%

Regal Ulixes

J: P J McDonald · T: A M Balding

Returns to turf on the same mark after a win on the all-weather. Trainer A M Balding is in excellent form with a 21% win rate in the last 14 days, which is a significant positive.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (20 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	10	②Thunder Run (IRE)	5	9-12	01640-7	100	39d	C Lee	K R Burke	—	0.0
2	4	①Warrant Holder (IRE)	4	9-12	21231-	100	206d	W Buick	J & T Gosden	t	0.0
3	8	③Regal Ulixes	4	9-11	17-6164	99	42d	P J McDonald	A M Balding	h	0.0
4	5	Tony Montana	6	9-8	00920-6	96	27d	D Egan	K P De Foy	—	0.0
5	6	Have Secret (IRE)	6	9-7	6214-51	95	24d	Billy Garritty	R A Fahey	v	0.0
6	3	The Glen Rovers	7	9-3	419-851	91	42d	S D Bowen	L Wadham	—	0.0
7	9	Castle Stuart (IRE)	4	9-3	13747-6	91	47d	Barry McHugh	R A Fahey	—	0.0
8	12	Chillingham (IRE)	7	9-2	167646-	90	112d	Aiden Brookes	Micky Hammond	p	0.0
9	11	Ashnak (FR)	4	9-0	1/423-83	88	20d	D Tudhope	D O'Meara	—	0.0
10	13	Per Contra (IRE)	5	8-13	2710-97	87	33d	D Allan	T D Easterby	p	0.0
11	15	Divine Knight (IRE)	5	8-12	17240-	86	230d	Tom Marquand	W J Haggas	—	0.0
12	1	Zryan (FR)	5	8-12	012609	86	13d	Jason Hart	D O'Meara	—	0.0
13	2	Cadarn (IRE)	5	8-11	1104-05	85	25d	K Stott	K A Ryan	—	0.0
14	16	Empire Of Light (IRE)	5	8-8	09541-1	82	20d	A Mullen	Grant Tuer	—	0.0
15	14	Double Parked (IRE)	4	8-7	2183-73	81	8d	Cam Hardie	T D Easterby	—	0.0
16	17	Altareq	4	8-6	632-	80	364d	Lauren Young	J S Goldie	—	0.0
17	7	Financer	5	8-5	62550-4	79	29d	D Fentiman	T D Easterby	p	0.0
0	4	②Thunder Run (IRE)	4	9-12	—	—	—	C Lee	K R Burke	—	—
0	2	Botanical (IRE)	4	9-8	—	—	—	James Doyle	R Varian	—	—
0	4	Marhaba The Champ	4	8-13	—	—	—	W Buick	K A Ryan	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Large, competitive handicap field (20 runners) at a fair track.
•Strong trainer/jockey combinations (Gosden/Buick, Balding/McDonald) in good form.
•Proven course and distance form (Thunder Run) versus unexposed, progressive talent (Warrant Holder).
•First-time headgear (tongue tie) for a key contender (Warrant Holder).

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field size (20 runners) increases race complexity and potential for traffic issues.
•Several horses returning from significant layoffs, introducing an element of uncertainty regarding fitness.
•Going not yet published, which could impact performance for some runners with specific preferences.
•Handicap nature means horses are closely matched on paper, leading to a highly competitive race.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.