🐎Horse Racing

Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle

Wexford (IRE) · 14:05 (UK local)

Saturday, 16 May 2026

2m 4f

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Simple Things (IRE)

J: Michael Kenneally · T: J P Dempsey

Finished a strong second last time out, indicating excellent current form and race fitness. As a 4yo, this horse has significant scope for further improvement in this handicap.

②P2 pick30%

Two Pair (IRE)

J: Sean Flanagan · T: P Nolan

Comes into the race off a recent win 28 days ago, showing good current form and race fitness. Despite a likely rise in weights, the horse is well-handicapped and capable of a strong showing.

③P3 pick25%

Kimy (FR)

J: Danny Mullins · T: T Mullins

Finished third last time out, demonstrating current ability and race fitness. With jockey Danny Mullins in reasonable form, this horse could be a contender for a place at a decent price.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (19 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	—	Born Bright (IRE)	7	11-12	7F4114/	110	266d	James Smith	C O'Connell	p	0.0
2	—	②Two Pair (IRE)	6	11-9	64255/1-	107	28d	Sean Flanagan	P Nolan	—	0.0
3	—	Joshua's Daylami (FR)	7	11-8	645188/	106	391d	Thomas O'Connor	M Fahey	—	0.0
4	—	Roxhill Roise (IRE)	8	11-8	89807/P-	106	107d	Eoghan Finegan	Ciaran Murphy	t	0.0
5	—	Crystal Gold (IRE)	5	11-7	33U/45-	105	41d	Josh Williamson	J W Kenny	t	0.0
6	—	One Night Standard (IRE)	7	11-5	728347/	103	284d	Charlie O'Dwyer	C O'Dwyer	—	0.0
7	—	③Kimy (FR)	6	11-2	F/30093-	100	26d	Danny Mullins	T Mullins	p	0.0
8	—	Malikanna (IRE)	5	11-2	070F/92-	100	55d	Aidan Kelly	P Roche	—	0.0
9	—	Fair Damsel (IRE)	8	11-0	2140/60-	98	26d	Carl Millar	C Collins	—	0.0
10	—	Lakewood Rose (IRE)	8	11-0	PP6664-	98	26d	Miss N C Hennessy	Miss N Hennessy	—	0.0
11	—	①Simple Things (IRE)	4	10-13	37/862-	105	28d	Michael Kenneally	J P Dempsey	h	0.0
12	—	Morell River (IRE)	6	10-12	604518/	96	189d	Sean O'Keeffe	C Bowe	—	0.0
13	—	Miss Lia (IRE)	6	10-10	2522/P2-	94	48d	Tiernan Power Roche	P J Rothwell	p	0.0
14	—	Last Note (FR)	6	10-9	263295/	93	221d	Danny Gilligan	C Collins	—	0.0
15	—	Lily Milan (IRE)	7	10-3	4445/86-	87	41d	Reserve 1	P Kiely	—	0.0
16	—	Game And Glory (IRE)	10	10-3	P9P4/FP-	87	14d	Reserve 2	P J Rothwell	b	0.0
0	—	Lilian Bland (IRE)	9	11-1	—	—	—	R Deegan	N P Hennessy	—	—
0	—	Kiltealy Park (IRE)	5	11-12	—	—	—	Sean Flanagan	P Nolan	—	—
0	—	Fruit Blossom (IRE)	7	11-10	—	—	—	Keith Donoghue	G Elliott	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Competitive Mares Handicap Hurdle with a large field.
•Undulating, left-handed, sharp track favoring handy types.
•Uphill finish places emphasis on stamina.
•Pace bias towards front-runners at Wexford.
•Several runners returning from significant layoffs, impacting fitness levels.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field size (19 runners) increases variance.
•Handicap conditions make the race highly competitive.
•Many horses returning from long layoffs, creating uncertainty about current form and fitness.
•Going conditions are yet to be published, which can significantly impact performance.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.