๐ŸŽHorse RacingClass 4Race Completed

Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Warwick ยท 18:07 (UK local)

Saturday, 9 May 2026

2m

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

11

Runners

Prize: ยฃ10,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

โ‘ P1 pick35%

Cobbler's Boy (IRE)

J: Harry Skelton ยท T: D Skelton

This gelding boasts solid bumper form, including a win and a second, suggesting good ability. From the powerful Skelton yard with Harry Skelton aboard, he is expected to be well-schooled for his hurdlโ€ฆ

โ‘กP2 pick28%

Kap De Cerisy (FR)

J: C J Todd ยท T: D Skelton

A French bumper winner, this Skelton newcomer holds significant potential. While making his hurdle debut, his foreign form often translates well, and he could be anything.

โ‘ขP3 pick22%

Taranis Dubh

J: G Sheehan ยท T: O Murphy

Showed promise in bumpers, placing twice, indicating a good level of ability. With Olly Murphy and Gavin Sheehan, he's from a respected stable and should be competitive on his first start over hurdlesโ€ฆ

Model confidence: 35% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#DrawHorse
1โ€”Dunstall Star
2โ€”Fine Fellow
3โ€”Peter's Last Deal (FR)
4โ€”Sky Grove (IRE)
5โ€”So Proud (IRE)
6โ€”โ‘ขTaranis Dubh
7โ€”Wings Of Ayrton (IRE)
8โ€”โ‘กKap De Cerisy (FR)
0โ€”โ‘ Cobbler's Boy (IRE)
0โ€”El Curamach (IRE)
0โ€”Glorious Fun (IRE)

Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • โ€ขMaiden Hurdle with many runners making their debut over obstacles.
  • โ€ขStrong representation from the Dan Skelton yard with three entries, including two top picks.
  • โ€ขBumper form is the primary guide for assessing potential over hurdles.
  • โ€ขWarwick is a sharp, left-handed track favoring speed and prominent runners.
  • โ€ขAssumed 'Good to Soft' going, which should suit most of the field.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • โ€ขHigh number of first-time hurdlers introduces significant unpredictability.
  • โ€ขLack of established hurdle form for most runners makes direct comparisons difficult.
  • โ€ขPotential for greenness or jumping errors from inexperienced horses.
  • โ€ขThe official going is still unknown and could significantly alter performance.
Velobet

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Bet Cobbler's Boy (IRE) ยท AI confidence 35%

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ€” even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ€“35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.