🐎Horse RacingClass 4Race Completed

Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Thirsk · 17:15 (UK local)

Sunday, 31 May 2026

1m 4f 8y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good (Good to Firm in places)

Going

12

Runners

Prize: £24,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

P1 pick38%

Brielle

J: D Tudhope · T: D O'Meara

Brielle showed good form last year, including a Class 4 win and a 2nd over this C&D. Despite a layoff, trainer D. O'Meara is skilled at preparing horses, and her favourable draw (8) is a significant a…

P2 pick32%

Great Bedwyn

J: S M Levey · T: R Hannon

Great Bedwyn comes into this race in consistent form, having placed second in two of his last three outings. His recent run (18 days ago) indicates current fitness and readiness for this contest.

P3 pick22%

Serenity Blue

J: P J McDonald · T: James Horton

While specific form details are not provided, Serenity Blue represents a reputable yard in James Horton and has a capable jockey in P.J. McDonald, suggesting potential for a competitive run.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (12 runners)

#DrawHorse
18Brielle
27Great Bedwyn
310Serenity Blue
45Cabrera (IRE)
511Penzance
61Letsbefrank (IRE)
76Fast Fred
812Optician
92Spanish Hustle
103Damascus Steel (IRE)
119Eroico (IRE)
124Valley Of Flowers (IRE)

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • Race distance (1m 4f 8y) on Thirsk's sharp, flat oval course.
  • Strong high-draw bias at Thirsk over this distance, potentially mitigated by soft ground.
  • Pace bias favouring front-runners, though less pronounced over longer distances.
  • Crucial unknown going conditions, which will significantly impact race dynamics and draw bias.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • The official going is yet to be published, introducing significant uncertainty.
  • Top pick Brielle returns from a 204-day layoff, raising fitness concerns despite trainer's ability.
  • Thirsk's strong draw bias can be reversed on soft ground, adding to the going-related risk.
  • Competitive field of 12 runners increases the variance of the outcome.
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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.