🐎Horse RacingClass 4

Marion Gibson Brown Memorial - Irish EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)

Thirsk · 14:23 (UK local)

Saturday, 16 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £10,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Kodi Bear Light (IRE)

J: Jack Nicholls · T: K R Burke

K R Burke excels with juvenile fillies, and this Kodi Bear progeny is likely to be well-prepared for a strong debut. The stable's record in these races suggests she will be fit and ready to contend.

②P2 pick28%

Bellatina

J: P J McDonald · T: C Johnston

Mark Johnston's juveniles are always respected, and with an experienced jockey like P J McDonald booked, Bellatina should be forward enough to secure a place on debut. The stable often gets them to ru…

③P3 pick22%

Callisterra (IRE)

J: Connor Beasley · T: M Dods

Michael Dods is a reliable northern trainer who often has his two-year-olds ready to perform. With Connor Beasley in the saddle, Callisterra is expected to be competitive and can challenge for a minor…

Model confidence: 30% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (14 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	4	③Callisterra (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Connor Beasley	M Dods	—	0.0
2	9	Envision	2	9-2	—	—	—	Harry Davies	James Owen	—	0.0
3	3	Fern Clyde	2	9-2	6	—	31d	Harry Russell	T D Easterby	—	0.0
4	2	Kalahari Flame	2	9-2	—	—	—	Harry Burns	Dylan Cunha	—	0.0
5	6	①Kodi Bear Light (IRE)	2	9-2	2	—	17d	Jack Nicholls	K R Burke	—	0.0
6	1	②Bellatina	2	8-13	28	—	17d	P J McDonald	C Johnston	—	0.0
7	10	Bettabebougie	2	8-13	47	—	21d	Shane Gray	Adrian Nicholls	p	0.0
8	7	Call Nicki (IRE)	2	8-13	4	—	14d	D Allan	T D Easterby	—	0.0
9	5	Golden Buzz (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	—	Darragh Keenan	B Haslam	—	0.0
10	8	Lairy Mary	2	8-13	03	—	12d	D Fentiman	T D Easterby	—	0.0
11	11	Miss Tuite (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	—	Zak Wheatley	D Carroll	—	0.0
0	9	Revival Power (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	D Allan	T D Easterby	—	—
0	9	Maw Lam (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	P Mathers	Adrian Nicholls	—	—
0	4	Love Wars (IRE)	2	9-2	—	—	—	Jason Hart	J & S Quinn	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Trainer's record with 2-year-olds on debut
•Jockey's experience and success rate with juveniles
•Breeding for precocity and early speed
•Potential for softer ground conditions
•Large field size for a maiden race

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Maiden race with 14 debutantes, leading to high unpredictability.
•Lack of prior form for most runners makes assessment challenging.
•Uncertainty regarding ground conditions (potential good to soft) could favor specific breeding.
•Juvenile fillies can be inconsistent and green on their first start.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.