Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)
Southwell · 20:00 (UK local)
Thursday, 21 May 2026
7f 14y
Distance
AllWeather
Surface
TBC
Going
9
Runners
Prize: £7,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Nubough (IRE)
J: Hollie Doyle · T: M Pattinson
Nubough has shown flashes of ability on the All-Weather and the booking of Hollie Doyle is a significant positive. A recent run should have brought him to peak fitness for this competitive handicap.
Amaysmont
J: Ray Dawson · T: K Frost
Amaysmont is a consistent performer at this level and distance, often running into the places. Ray Dawson is a strong jockey who can extract a good effort.
Adelaide Bay
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam
Representing a stable in good form, Adelaide Bay could be ready to improve on recent efforts. The trip and surface are expected to be suitable.
Model confidence: 42% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (9 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ①Nubough (IRE) |
| 2 | 8 | ②Amaysmont |
| 3 | 6 | Fort Augustus |
| 4 | 1 | Highfield Jewel (IRE) |
| 5 | 5 | ③Adelaide Bay |
| 6 | 4 | Billyjoegold |
| 7 | 3 | Just King High (IRE) |
| 8 | 9 | My Mate Beattie (IRE) |
| 9 | 7 | Lil Wade (IRE) |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Competitive Class 6 handicap with nine runners.
- •All-Weather surface at Southwell, typically standard going.
- •Key jockey bookings, notably Hollie Doyle on the top pick.
- •Recent form consistency and suitability to the 7f 14y trip.
Risk Assessment
- •Handicap nature means all horses are theoretically well-weighted.
- •Potential for unexposed horses to show significant improvement.
- •Southwell's unique track can sometimes favour specific running styles.
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Bet Nubough (IRE) · AI confidence 38%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.