๐ŸŽHorse RacingClass 5Race Completed

Summer Fun & Makers Market Raceday 27th July Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) (Div 1)

Southwell ยท 15:42 (UK local)

Monday, 11 May 2026

1m 7f 182y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

13

Runners

Prize: ยฃ4,500 added

AI Top 3 Picks

โ‘ P1 pick38%

Queensworthy (IRE)

J: Harry Skelton ยท T: D Skelton

Trained by Dan Skelton and ridden by Harry Skelton, this combination is arguably the strongest in the race. Dan Skelton has an exceptional record with bumper horses, often sending out well-prepared deโ€ฆ

โ‘กP2 pick32%

For Her Glory

J: S Bowen ยท T: O Murphy

Olly Murphy excels with young horses in bumpers, and the booking of top-tier jockey Sean Bowen further enhances her prospects. This filly comes from a stable known for having their horses ready to runโ€ฆ

โ‘ขP3 pick25%

It Takes Two

J: Thomas Bellamy ยท T: A King

Trained by Alan King, who has a proven track record in bumpers, she has the benefit of race experience from her 5th place debut. This run suggests ability and she is expected to be fitter and more cluโ€ฆ

Model confidence: 35% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (13 runners)

#DrawHorse
1โ€”Frisky Whiskey
2โ€”Royale Blue
3โ€”Burrows Jubilee (FR)
4โ€”Chiquita Milano
5โ€”Crystal Glade
6โ€”โ‘กFor Her Glory
7โ€”Go Hr (IRE)
8โ€”โ‘ขIt Takes Two
9โ€”Marie D'altalinara (FR)
10โ€”Mighty Harmony
0โ€”โ‘ Queensworthy (IRE)
0โ€”Gale Mahler (IRE)
0โ€”Hot Fizzy Lizzy (IRE)

Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • โ€ขHigh number of debutants creating significant unknowns regarding true ability.
  • โ€ขPrediction heavily relies on trainer and jockey reputations in bumpers for unraced horses.
  • โ€ขDan Skelton's exceptional record with bumper horses, often producing well-prepared debutants.
  • โ€ขOlly Murphy's strong reputation for producing winners in bumpers with young horses.
  • โ€ขBenefit of previous race experience for It Takes Two, suggesting improved fitness and understanding.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • โ€ขLarge field of 13 runners increases variability.
  • โ€ขMajority of runners are debutants with entirely unknown ability.
  • โ€ขMaiden National Hunt Flat races are inherently unpredictable.
  • โ€ขLack of crucial pre-race information (going, market support, headgear) due to future race date.
Velobet

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Bet Queensworthy (IRE) ยท AI confidence 38%

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ€” even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ€“35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.