Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Race (Smullen Series)
Roscommon (IRE) · 19:23 (UK local)
Monday, 11 May 2026
1m 2f 95y
Distance
Turf
Surface
Good
Going
8
Runners
Prize: €30,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Arouet (FR)
J: Billy Lee · T: P Twomey
Arouet represents a potent trainer-jockey combination in P Twomey and Billy Lee, known for their success with promising types. In this small field, a strong performance is anticipated given the stable…
Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA)
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien
From the powerful J P O'Brien yard and ridden by top jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle, Nil Bua Gan Dua is expected to be a major player. The stable often has horses well-prepared for these types of races…
Dial Me In (IRE)
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J P O'Brien
Another strong contender from J P O'Brien, Dial Me In with Declan McDonogh aboard provides a solid backup option. The stable's strength in depth is a significant advantage in this competitive race.
Model confidence: 40% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (8 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ③Dial Me In (IRE) |
| 2 | 1 | Rebel Ascendant |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Benji (IRE) |
| 4 | 6 | Elzaam Express (IRE) |
| 6 | 2 | ②Nil Bua Gan Dua (USA) |
| 5 | 4 | Marjorie Daw (IRE) |
| 0 | 3 | ①Arouet (FR) |
| 0 | 2 | Naval Force (IRE) |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Small field of 8 runners, potentially leading to a less complicated race.
- •Good to Yielding ground conditions, which should suit most runners.
- •Presence of multiple top Irish trainers (J P O'Brien, P Twomey, Donnacha O'Brien) indicating high-quality competition.
- •Roscommon's sharp, right-handed track favors handy types with tactical speed.
- •Distance of 1m 2f 95y requires stamina and a good turn of foot.
Risk Assessment
- •While small, the field contains several well-regarded horses from top stables, making it competitive.
- •Median Auction races can sometimes be unpredictable, with horses improving significantly between runs.
- •The 'yielding places' in the going description could introduce variability.
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Bet Arouet (FR) · AI confidence 38%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.