🐎Horse Racing

Athlone Handicap (Div 1)

Roscommon (IRE) · 18:23 (UK local)

Monday, 11 May 2026

7f 111y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

Runners

Prize: €12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Sweet Baby Zou

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien

Represents a top stable and jockey combination, often a strong indicator in competitive handicaps. This horse could be unexposed and well-handicapped, poised for a significant effort.

②P2 pick32%

Zermatt Star (IRE)

J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs J Harrington

Another strong trainer-jockey pairing, suggesting the horse is well-prepared. Likely to be consistent and capable of running into the places in this grade.

③P3 pick26%

Concaire (IRE)

J: Billy Lee · T: R O'Brien

Jockey Billy Lee is in excellent form and can extract the best from his mounts. This horse could be an improving type or well-weighted to contend for a minor placing.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (15 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	4	Personified (IRE)	3	10-3	785341	68	3d	Shay Wallace	J P O'Brien	—	5.0
2	8	②Zermatt Star (IRE)	3	10-1	65-0	73	37d	Shane Foley	Mrs J Harrington	—	2.5
3	6	Coincidental Glory (IRE)	3	10-0	5231-20	72	14d	Sam Coen	A McGuinness	h	4.0
4	5	Girl Bear (IRE)	3	10-0	3-79	72	37d	Luke McAteer	Jack Foley	—	0.5
5	7	Thirsty Owl (IRE)	3	9-10	48-4	68	122d	Scott McCullagh	Daniel McLoughlin	p	0.0
6	12	Dont Get Me Wrong (IRE)	3	9-8	0518-	66	145d	Siobhan Rutledge	Gerard O'Leary	—	1.0
7	3	Merry Blacksmith (IRE)	3	9-6	58-6	64	37d	Adam Browne-Souza	A Slattery	t	3.5
8	14	Gold Inn (IRE)	3	9-4	56-8	62	30d	Jimmy Dalton	A Slattery	—	3.5
9	11	①Sweet Baby Zou	3	9-4	900	62	22d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	5.0
10	2	Wicklow Gap (IRE)	3	9-4	07099-	62	187d	Gary Carroll	G P Cromwell	t	1.5
11	13	Only One Scobie (IRE)	3	9-3	0-00060	61	16d	Leigh Roche	P W Flynn	—	1.0
12	1	③Concaire (IRE)	3	9-1	708	59	8d	Billy Lee	R O'Brien	h	2.0
13	9	Cisterna (IRE)	3	8-13	827-053	57	33d	Andrew Slattery	A Slattery	—	3.5
14	10	Moonlight Molly (IRE)	3	8-11	009-00	55	19d	Reese Holohan	J G Coogan	pt	0.0
0	3	Gangsta Man (IRE)	3	9-11	—	—	—	Wesley Joyce	K Smith	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Large field of 15 runners, increasing race complexity.
•Competitive handicap where form and weight are crucial.
•Strong trainer and jockey combinations often excel in these races.
•Potential for unexposed horses to improve significantly.
•Going conditions are currently unknown, adding an element of uncertainty.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•High number of runners (15) makes predicting the outcome challenging.
•Handicap nature means horses are closely matched on paper.
•Unknown going conditions could significantly impact performance.
•Several horses may be unexposed or returning to form, leading to unpredictable results.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.