🐎Horse Racing

www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap

Roscommon (IRE) · 17:53 (UK local)

Monday, 11 May 2026

7f 111y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

Runners

Prize: €15,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Navagio (IRE)

J: Colin Keane · T: Ciaran Murphy

Navagio benefits from having Colin Keane in the saddle, a top-tier jockey who excels in competitive handicaps. The Ciaran Murphy stable often has its runners well-prepared for these types of races, su…

②P2 pick25%

Sun Soldier (IRE)

J: Billy Lee · T: A Oliver

Sun Soldier is partnered with Billy Lee, another highly capable jockey, for trainer A Oliver. This combination often proves potent in handicaps, and the horse should be competitive if the ground suits…

③P3 pick20%

Finsceal Annie (IRE)

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Ciaran Murphy

Finsceal Annie represents the same stable as our top pick and has the services of talented young jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle. The horse could be well-handicapped and capable of hitting the frame.

Model confidence: 30% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (20 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
2	9	Gloriously Glam (IRE)	4	10-0	1789-04	80	19d	Adam Caffrey	A McGuinness	p	—
3	13	③Finsceal Annie (IRE)	5	9-13	02926-0	79	26d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	Ciaran Murphy	pt	—
4	14	Chester Nimitz (IRE)	4	9-11	24701-5	77	26d	Shane Foley	Gerard O'Leary	—	—
5	6	Highbury See See (IRE)	4	9-11	331-050	77	16d	Sam Coen	A Slattery	—	—
6	5	②Sun Soldier (IRE)	4	9-11	36413-5	77	22d	Billy Lee	A Oliver	b	—
7	8	Altimara (IRE)	5	9-10	911337-	76	166d	Donagh O'Connor	R O'Sullivan	h	—
8	15	Earls (IRE)	9	9-10	8360-00	76	22d	Gary Carroll	G P Cromwell	bt	—
9	4	Neo Smart (IRE)	5	9-10	60-2419	76	52d	Declan McDonogh	J S Bolger	t	—
10	3	Anvika (IRE)	5	9-9	2390-80	75	26d	Robbie Colgan	S Lavery	t	—
11	16	San Aer (IRE)	8	9-9	742-900	75	16d	Leigh Roche	R O'Sullivan	t	—
12	1	①Navagio (IRE)	7	9-8	50435-0	74	29d	Colin Keane	Ciaran Murphy	t	—
14	11	Zaraahmando (IRE)	4	9-8	06315-4	74	50d	Andrew Slattery	A Slattery	—	—
15	17	Shoot To Kill (IRE)	9	9-6	7447-00	72	44d	Patrick McGettigan	N C Kelly	—	—
18	2	Minaun View	4	9-1	274-073	67	16d	J Cleary	A McGuinness	pt	—
1	18	Fast Tara (IRE)	6	10-0	2239-63	80	16d	Adam Grant	P W Flynn	t	—
13	7	Spent All Me Money (IRE)	4	9-8	14310-0	74	29d	Wesley Joyce	A Sexton	p	—
16	10	Little Miss P (IRE)	4	9-6	63555-0	72	29d	Reserve 1	W McCreery	—	—
17	12	Mercurial (IRE)	7	9-6	008429-	72	190d	Reserve 2	J Nallen	—	—
0	3	Shoot To Kill (IRE)	8	10-0	—	—	—	Jack Kearney	Stephen Thorne	—	—
0	4	Brains (IRE)	8	9-8	—	—	—	Adam Caffrey	R Donohoe	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Good to Yielding ground conditions, with Yielding in places, will favour certain types of runners.
•Large field of 20 runners increases the complexity and variance of the race outcome.
•The 7f 111y distance requires a balance of speed and stamina.
•Jockey form and experience are crucial in navigating a large-field handicap.
•Trainer's ability to ready horses for specific conditions and competitive handicaps.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field size (20 runners) inherently increases unpredictability.
•Handicap conditions mean horses are theoretically closely matched.
•Variable ground conditions (Good to Yielding, Yielding in places) can impact performance significantly.
•High potential for traffic issues and bad luck in running due to the number of participants.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.