🐎Horse RacingRace Completed

Next Meeting At Roscommon On Monday, 18th May Handicap (0-60)

Roscommon (IRE) · 17:23 (UK local)

Monday, 11 May 2026

7f 111y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

Runners

Prize: €9,999 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick28%

Profit Surge (IRE)

J: Colin Keane · T: G Keane

This runner represents top connections in Irish racing, with jockey Colin Keane and trainer G Keane often having their horses well-placed. A prominent racing style, which this horse may possess, could…

②P2 pick22%

Morning Approach (IRE)

J: Billy Lee · T: W McCreery

Another strong contender from a reputable stable with a top jockey in Billy Lee, suggesting the horse will be well-prepared. This combination often performs well in competitive handicaps.

③P3 pick18%

Kitty Bear (IRE)

J: Orla Tynan · T: A Slattery

Comes from a stable and jockey combination (A Slattery and Orla Tynan) currently showing a decent 9% strike rate over the last 14 days. This recent form can be a significant factor in a low-grade hand…

Model confidence: 32% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (20 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	4	③Kitty Bear (IRE)	4	10-2	542617	59	6d	Orla Tynan	A Slattery	—	—
2	5	Brains (IRE)	10	9-12	5085-04	55	26d	Shane Foley	R Donohoe	bt	—
3	17	②Morning Approach (IRE)	8	9-12	8000-00	55	94d	Billy Lee	W McCreery	—	—
4	1	Cordouan (FR)	8	9-11	39088-0	54	57d	Killian Leonard	P Sweeney	—	—
6	9	①Profit Surge (IRE)	5	9-9	622-366	52	87d	Colin Keane	G Keane	t	—
7	13	Your Out Of Line (IRE)	5	9-7	5048/07	50	26d	Gavin Ryan	J Barcoe	—	—
8	18	Maw Can	3	9-4	3670-	60	249d	Ronan Whelan	John O'Donoghue	—	—
9	3	Miss Ivor (IRE)	3	9-2	080-	58	185d	Jimmy Dalton	P O'Rourke	—	—
10	8	Straight Back Up	4	9-2	049-580	45	31d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	Dermot Kilmartin	—	—
11	2	River Derwent	8	9-0	03-4400	43	17d	James Ryan	Thomas Coyle	v	—
12	7	Mullacash Buzz (IRE)	8	8-13	263-004	42	18d	J Cleary	Thomas Dowling	bt	—
13	11	Manhattan Dandy (IRE)	9	8-11	2-74683	40	19d	Reese Holohan	Thomas Coyle	—	—
14	6	Serengeti Sunrise (IRE)	5	8-11	090-468	40	8d	Siobhan Rutledge	R K Watson	—	—
15	14	Areyousure (IRE)	3	8-7	0808	45	33d	Yudish Geerdharry	D Dias	v	—
5	10	Bucky Larson (IRE)	11	9-9	271-849	52	52d	Patrick McGettigan	P Sweeney	—	—
16	12	Jasmine Affanalis (IRE)	4	10-2	521-075	59	17d	Reserve 1	D Marnane	—	—
17	15	Half Nutz (IRE)	9	8-11	07-7085	40	6d	Reserve 2	J Barcoe	—	—
18	16	My Kurkum	8	8-11	800-907	40	8d	Reserve 3	R K Watson	p	—
0	8	Zero Fighter (IRE)	5	8-10	—	—	—	Wayne Lordan	E D Delany	—	—
0	3	Play It Again Zaam (IRE)	4	9-11	—	—	—	Robert Whearty	Conor Maxwell	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Competitive low-class handicap (0-60) with 18 declared runners.
•Roscommon is a right-handed track favoring prominent racers or front-runners.
•Anticipated going is 'GOOD TO YIELDING, Yielding in places'.
•Conflicting information on draw bias suggests it's likely a minor factor.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field of 18 runners increases the variability and unpredictability of the outcome.
•Low-grade handicap (0-60) often features inconsistent performers, leading to open races.
•Lack of specific horse form or ratings in the provided analysis necessitates reliance on general connections and track characteristics.
•Conflicting draw bias information adds another layer of uncertainty.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.