🐎Horse Racing

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

Roscommon (IRE) · 16:53 (UK local)

Monday, 11 May 2026

7f 111y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good

Going

Runners

Prize: €25,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Lan De Ghaire (IRE)

J: Andrew Slattery · T: J S Bolger

Lan De Ghaire holds the best form in the race, having finished 3rd on debut just 7 days ago. This recent race experience and proven fitness are significant advantages in a 2-year-old maiden.

②P2 pick32%

Joga Bonito

J: Billy Lee · T: P Twomey

From a top trainer in excellent recent form (P. Twomey, 25% strike rate), Joga Bonito is by a classy sire (Too Darn Hot) and is likely to be well-prepared for a strong debut performance.

③P3 pick28%

Seven Nation Army (GER)

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien

Represents the in-form J. P. O'Brien yard (17% strike rate) with a capable jockey. The pedigree suggests speed, making this colt a strong contender on debut.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (12 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	8	Cyclone Code (IRE)	2	9-4	—	—	—	Donagh O'Connor	S Cavanagh	—	1.5
2	3	Our Boy Bailey (IRE)	2	9-4	—	—	—	Shane Foley	Mrs J Harrington	—	1.5
3	6	Stay Curious (IRE)	2	9-4	—	—	—	Luke McAteer	P T Foley	h	0.0
4	2	②Joga Bonito	2	9-2	—	—	—	Billy Lee	P Twomey	—	5.0
5	4	Cochise County (IRE)	2	9-0	—	—	—	Gary Carroll	J G Murphy	—	0.0
6	1	Frogs Hollow Creek (IRE)	2	9-0	4	—	22d	Wayne Lordan	M Hassett	—	1.5
7	9	③Seven Nation Army (GER)	2	9-0	—	—	—	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	3.0
8	5	Romance (GER)	2	8-11	—	—	—	Rory Cleary	J Halley	—	0.0
9	10	Dancing Destiny (IRE)	2	8-9	—	—	—	Declan McDonogh	J P O'Brien	—	2.0
10	7	①Lan De Ghaire (IRE)	2	8-9	3	—	7d	Andrew Slattery	J S Bolger	—	2.0
0	10	Leblon Queen (IRE)	2	8-9	—	—	—	Chris Hayes	A Murray	—	—
0	2	Lady O (IRE)	2	8-13	—	—	—	Shane Foley	Mrs J Harrington	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Lan De Ghaire's prior race experience and placed form are a significant advantage in this maiden.
•Strong trainer form for Joga Bonito (P. Twomey) and J. P. O'Brien's runners (Seven Nation Army, Dancing Destiny).
•Pedigrees of several unraced runners suggest precocity and speed, suitable for a 2-year-old maiden.
•Roscommon's sharp, right-handed track with a potential front-running bias over 7 furlongs.
•Good to Yielding ground conditions, typical for May in Ireland.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field of 12 runners for a 2-year-old maiden.
•Many unraced horses, introducing significant unknowns regarding ability and readiness.
•2-year-old maidens are inherently unpredictable due to lack of form and varying levels of maturity.
•Conflicting information regarding draw bias at Roscommon over 7 furlongs.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.