🐎Horse RacingClass 5

Murrayshall Cairns Handicap Chase

Perth · 15:43 (UK local)

Wednesday, 13 May 2026

2m 7f 180y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £9,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick35%

Aill Dubh (IRE)

J: Danny McMenamin · T: Micky Hammond

Aill Dubh won last time out in a similar Class 5 handicap chase over 2m 7f. Trainer Micky Hammond is in red-hot form with a 60% strike rate in the last 14 days for jumps, making this horse a strong co…

②P2 pick30%

Burgundy Man (FR)

J: Ryan Mania · T: R M Smith

Burgundy Man is a proven C&D winner on soft ground, and jockey Ryan Mania boasts an excellent 33% strike rate in the last 14 days. Despite recent runs being less impactful, the C&D form and jockey's p…

③P3 pick25%

Sir Carnegie (IRE)

J: James Bowen · T: M Bowen

Sir Carnegie shows very consistent form, including two wins earlier in the season and a recent second-place finish 20 days ago. This consistency suggests he will be competitive for a place in this fie…

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	—	Attaboyarchie (IRE)	9	12-0	U9-4P42	100	31d	Miss E J Sweeney	K Thornton	—	0.0
2	—	The Flying Poet (IRE)	7	11-13	8/25221-	99	230d	S Bowen	O Murphy	pt	0.0
3	—	③Sir Carnegie (IRE)	6	11-10	211442-	96	20d	James Bowen	M Bowen	p	0.0
4	—	Similar Story (IRE)	8	11-3	P5UP03-	89	41d	Sean Quinlan	W Coltherd	pt	0.0
5	—	②Burgundy Man (FR)	9	11-3	333156-	89	20d	Ryan Mania	R M Smith	—	0.0
6	—	Jirko (FR)	7	11-0	32333U-	86	20d	Bruce Lynn	N W Alexander	p	0.0
7	—	①Aill Dubh (IRE)	9	10-6	1/UPP31-	78	43d	Danny McMenamin	Micky Hammond	p	0.0
8	—	Defying Gravity	6	10-2	F00053-	71	20d	William Maggs	A B Hamilton	ht	0.0
0	—	Fathers Advice (IRE)	8	10-2	—	—	—	Nathan Moscrop	R M Smith	—	—
0	—	Cowboy Cooper (IRE)	8	10-6	—	—	—	Craig Nichol	D W Whillans	—	—
0	—	Born Famous (IRE)	6	11-12	—	—	—	C O'Farrell	I Jardine	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Trainer Micky Hammond's exceptional 60% jump strike rate in the last 14 days.
•Jockey Ryan Mania's strong 33% jump strike rate in the last 14 days.
•Aill Dubh's recent win in a similar class and trip.
•Burgundy Man's proven course and distance winning form.
•Sir Carnegie's consistent recent form including a second-place finish.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelmedium

•Competitive Class 5 handicap with several in-form contenders.
•Official going not yet published, which can significantly impact performance.
•The Flying Poet returns from a significant 230-day layoff, posing a fitness question.
•Some horses in the field show inconsistent form, adding to unpredictability.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.