🐎Horse RacingClass 4Race Completed

Events And Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

Nottingham · 15:50 (UK local)

Tuesday, 19 May 2026

1m 75y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good to Soft (Good in places)

Going

12

Runners

Prize: £11,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

P1 pick28%

Rosa Inglesa

J: Oisin Murphy · T: C Fellowes

Rosa Inglesa benefits from the booking of top jockey Oisin Murphy, indicating strong intent from the C Fellowes stable. The horse is expected to be well-prepared for this competitive handicap, potenti…

P2 pick22%

Island Bear (IRE)

J: Tom Marquand · T: Dr R Newland & J Insole

Island Bear has a top jockey in Tom Marquand and comes from a stable known for getting the best out of their flat runners. Consistency in recent runs suggests it will be a strong contender for a place…

P3 pick18%

Capichera (IRE)

J: K Shoemark · T: E Walker

Capichera represents a respected trainer-jockey combination in E Walker and K Shoemark. The horse could be well-handicapped and poised to show significant improvement in this company.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (12 runners)

#DrawHorse
15Runswick (IRE)
24Capichera (IRE)
32Island Bear (IRE)
47I'm Just Ken
59North Force (IRE)
68Beyond The Bar (IRE)
73Rosa Inglesa
86Chapter (IRE)
91Domination (IRE)
05Herculeus
02Liveandletlive (IRE)
01Spioradalta

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • Competitive Class 4 handicap with 12 runners.
  • Importance of recent form and current handicap mark.
  • Impact of top jockey bookings (Murphy, Marquand).
  • Trainer form and ability to prepare horses for handicaps.
  • Potential for unexposed horses to improve.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • Large field size (12 runners) increases variability.
  • Handicap conditions mean all horses are theoretically well-matched.
  • No clear dominant favourite, suggesting an open race.
  • Going not yet published, which can significantly impact performance.
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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.