๐ŸŽHorse RacingClass 3Race Completed

Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Nottingham ยท 14:50 (UK local)

Tuesday, 19 May 2026

1m 2f 50y

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good to Soft (Good in places)

Going

13

Runners

Prize: ยฃ12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

โ‘ P1 pick35%

More Thunder (IRE)

J: Saffie Osborne ยท T: Sir Michael Stoute

This Sir Michael Stoute-trained runner is likely to show significant improvement from its debut run, a common trait for horses from this yard. The booking of Saffie Osborne is a positive, indicating cโ€ฆ

โ‘กP2 pick30%

Cloud Forest

J: Oisin Murphy ยท T: S bin Suroor

Representing top connections in Godolphin, Saeed bin Suroor, and Oisin Murphy, this horse is expected to be well-prepared and has strong credentials for a prominent showing.

โ‘ขP3 pick25%

Knights Charge (IRE)

J: Ray Dawson ยท T: R Varian

From the in-form Roger Varian stable, which consistently produces winners in novice company, Knights Charge should be competitive and capable of securing a place.

Model confidence: 35% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (13 runners)

#DrawHorse
110โ‘กCloud Forest
27Liam Mera Kai (FR)
38Semele
45Shopaholic
51Bay Royale
69โ‘ขKnights Charge (IRE)
72Barak Warrior (IRE)
84Cliff Danger
1011Outflank (IRE)
116Zurna
93Domenico Contarini (IRE)
06Serenity Blue
010โ‘ More Thunder (IRE)

Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • โ€ขHigh number of unexposed runners, making form assessment challenging.
  • โ€ขPresence of multiple runners from top-tier stables (Stoute, Suroor, Varian, Gosden).
  • โ€ขStrong jockey bookings for key contenders (Murphy, Osborne, Dawson).
  • โ€ขAssumed 'Good to Soft' going, which could favour certain types.
  • โ€ขDistance of 1m 2f 50y often suits well-bred, improving types.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh
  • โ€ขLarge field of 13 runners increases race unpredictability.
  • โ€ขMany horses are unexposed, leading to significant unknown factors.
  • โ€ขThe official going is not yet published, introducing an element of uncertainty.
  • โ€ขNovice stakes races are inherently high-variance due to potential for rapid improvement or regression.
Velobet

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Bet More Thunder (IRE) ยท AI confidence 35%

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ€” even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ€“35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.