Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Nottingham ยท 14:20 (UK local)
Sunday, 31 May 2026
6f 18y
Distance
Turf
Surface
Good (Good to Firm in places)
Going
13
Runners
Prize: ยฃ8,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Regal Chita (IRE)
J: Cieren Fallon ยท T: James Owen
Showed promising ability with a 3rd place on debut, indicating potential. Benefits significantly from an excellent low draw (1) at Nottingham over this distance, providing a statistical advantage.
Poppy Foxy (IRE)
J: Saffie Osborne ยท T: Charlie Clover
A debutant with no prior form to assess, but holds a significant advantage with an excellent low draw (2) which is often crucial at Nottingham over 6f.
Treasurer (IRE)
J: Rowan Scott ยท T: C Fellowes
A debutant from a capable yard (C Fellowes, 10% SR) with a jockey (Rowan Scott, 9% SR) in decent recent form. The neutral draw (7) offers a fair chance.
Model confidence: 28% ยท capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (13 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Grayrobin |
| 2 | 9 | Harley (IRE) |
| 3 | 1 | โ Regal Chita (IRE) |
| 4 | 7 | โขTreasurer (IRE) |
| 5 | 8 | Whiskey Bent (FR) |
| 6 | 3 | Zohar (IRE) |
| 7 | 4 | Big Bad Storm |
| 8 | 10 | Carry On Chaos (IRE) |
| 9 | 11 | Bated Benevolence |
| 10 | 2 | โกPoppy Foxy (IRE) |
| 11 | 6 | Thunda Struck (IRE) |
| 0 | 2 | Havana Prince |
| 0 | 3 | Soames Forsyte |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) ยท OR = official rating ยท PR = Sky Sports power rating ยท HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) ยท Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- โขMaiden race with many debutants, making form analysis difficult.
- โขAbsence of published going is a major variable for turf performance.
- โขNottingham 6f has a strong low-draw bias, especially on good or faster ground.
- โขTrainer/jockey form is generally modest across the field.
Risk Assessment
- โขHigh proportion of debutants with no prior form.
- โขUnknown official going, which can significantly impact turf race outcomes.
- โขMaiden races are inherently unpredictable due to potential for rapid improvement or lack of experience.
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Bet Regal Chita (IRE) ยท AI confidence 38%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance โ even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30โ35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.