🐎Horse RacingClass 1

Betfred Dahlia Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2)

Newmarket · 14:20 (UK local)

Sunday, 3 May 2026

1m 1f

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: £165,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick45%

Via Sistina (IRE)

J: J P Spencer · T: G Boughey

A proven Group 1 winner, Via Sistina brings the highest level of form to this contest. Her class and ability to handle various ground conditions make her the standout contender in this Group 2 field.

②P2 pick35%

Stay Alert

J: David Egan · T: H Morrison

A consistent Group 2 winner herself, Stay Alert has shown strong form at this level. She should be highly competitive and capable of securing a place if running to her best.

③P3 pick28%

Cinderella's Dream

J: W Buick · T: C Appleby

Representing a powerful stable and jockey combination, Cinderella's Dream is likely to be well-prepared and has the potential to step up to Group 2 company. She could be a strong contender for a minor…

Model confidence: 38% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (16 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	7	American Gal	4	9-2	17277-7	99	36d	Tom Marquand	E Walker	—	0.0
2	9	Arisaig	5	9-2	5330-24	102	1d	J P Spencer	C Johnston	—	0.0
3	4	Cathedral	4	9-2	42454-3	113	36d	D Egan	K P De Foy	—	0.0
4	5	Chantilly Lace (IRE)	4	9-2	1/5535-	104	228d	Rossa Ryan	R M Beckett	—	0.0
5	13	Cheshire Dancer (IRE)	5	9-2	132147-	103	211d	David Probert	H Palmer	p	0.0
6	12	Falakeyah	4	9-2	1/196-	103	205d	Saffie Osborne	Owen Burrows	—	0.0
7	8	Francophone	5	9-2	4/45561-	105	219d	Jason Hart	C Johnston	—	0.0
8	3	Jancis (IRE)	5	9-2	255462-	102	177d	S M Levey	W McCreery	t	0.0
9	1	Miss Justice	5	9-2	221152-	102	205d	Billy Loughnane	B J Meehan	—	0.0
10	11	Qilin Queen (IRE)	4	9-2	318140-	105	210d	Non Runner	E Walker	—	0.0
11	6	Sand Gazelle	4	9-2	430127-	105	205d	W Buick	J & T Gosden	—	0.0
12	2	Stateira (FR)	4	9-2	4812-11	102	30d	Oisin Murphy	A M Balding	—	0.0
13	10	Survie (IRE)	5	9-2	240-134	112	36d	R L Moore	G Boughey	t	0.0
0	1	③Cinderella's Dream	4	9-2	—	—	—	W Buick	C Appleby	—	—
0	4	②Stay Alert	5	9-2	—	—	—	David Egan	H Morrison	—	—
0	3	①Via Sistina (IRE)	5	9-2	—	—	—	J P Spencer	G Boughey	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Via Sistina's Group 1 winning form sets a high standard.
•The demanding Rowley Mile course, including 'The Dip', tests stamina and tactical awareness.
•Anticipated Good to Firm going will suit speedier types.
•Several strong stable and jockey combinations add depth to the field.
•Competitive Group 2 race with multiple in-form contenders.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelmedium

•Despite a clear favourite, Group 2 races are inherently competitive with multiple horses capable of placing.
•The Rowley Mile's unique undulations can sometimes catch out less experienced horses.
•Potential for tactical changes given the straight track and field size.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.