Oliver Brown Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' Listed)
Newmarket · 13:45 (UK local)
Sunday, 3 May 2026
1m 2f
Distance
Turf
Surface
TBC
Going
10
Runners
Prize: £60,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Running Lion
J: Oisin Murphy · T: J & T Gosden
Running Lion boasts proven Group 3 winning form and has placed in Group 2 company. This drop to Listed level makes her a strong contender, and the Gosden/Murphy combination is formidable.
Friendly Soul
J: K Shoemark · T: J & T Gosden
Unbeaten in two starts, this filly from the powerful Gosden yard has significant potential for improvement. While stepping up in class and trip, she could be well-suited to this challenge.
Lilt
J: Tom Marquand · T: W J Haggas
Lilt represents a top stable and has shown consistent form, including a recent handicap win. She looks ready for a step up to Listed company and should be competitive.
Model confidence: 40% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (10 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Brigid's Well (IRE) |
| 2 | 7 | Esna (IRE) |
| 3 | 2 | Jennifer Jane (IRE) |
| 4 | 1 | ③Lilt |
| 5 | 6 | Maldives (IRE) |
| 6 | 4 | Sacred Ground |
| 7 | 5 | Spinning Lizzie |
| 0 | 6 | Falakeyah |
| 0 | 4 | ②Friendly Soul |
| 0 | 1 | ①Running Lion |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Class drop for Running Lion, making her a strong favourite.
- •Presence of unexposed fillies like Friendly Soul with high potential.
- •Strong representation from top stables (J & T Gosden, W J Haggas).
- •Newmarket's Rowley Mile course characteristics, favoring gallopers.
- •Assumed Good to Firm/Good ground, typical for early May at Newmarket.
Risk Assessment
- •Several unexposed fillies could show significant improvement.
- •First run of the season for some key contenders, fitness levels may vary.
- •Potential for varying ground conditions if weather changes from assumed.
- •Competitive field depth for a Listed race.
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Bet Running Lion · AI confidence 40%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.