🐎Horse RacingClass 5Race Completed

Book Northumberland Plate Day Tickets Fillies' Handicap

Newcastle · 17:05 (UK local)

Tuesday, 19 May 2026

6f

Distance

AllWeather

Surface

Standard

Going

9

Runners

Prize: £7,600 added

AI Top 3 Picks

P1 pick35%

Blue Nguru

J: Hollie Doyle · T: A Watson

Blue Nguru benefits from the booking of top jockey Hollie Doyle for trainer A Watson, a combination that often yields results. The horse has shown potential and could be well-handicapped for this Clas…

P2 pick28%

Maldevious (IRE)

J: Ben Robinson · T: B Ellison

Trainer B Ellison has a strong record at Newcastle, and Maldevious could be primed for a good run after a recent outing. The horse has shown consistency and is partnered by a reliable stable jockey.

P3 pick22%

Tashi Delek (IRE)

J: Daniel Muscutt · T: J R Fanshawe

From a reputable yard, Tashi Delek could benefit from a strong pace in this handicap and finish strongly. Daniel Muscutt is a capable rider who can extract a good performance from this type of horse.

Model confidence: 30% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (9 runners)

#DrawHorse
17Maldevious (IRE)
24Annie Edson Taylor
39Concert
43Hen Party (IRE)
62Blue Nguru
75Tashi Delek (IRE)
88Fizzy Cristal
96Perfect Price (IRE)
51Too Much

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

  • Class 5 Fillies' Handicap over 6 furlongs.
  • All-Weather Tapeta surface at Newcastle.
  • Field of 9 runners, suggesting a competitive but manageable race.
  • Potential for draw bias at 6f on Newcastle's straight course (though conflicting reports exist).
  • Impact of jockey bookings and trainer form on individual chances.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelmedium
  • Handicap nature of the race, where form lines can be tight.
  • Nine runners, providing multiple credible contenders.
  • Conflicting information regarding draw bias at Newcastle 6f, adding an element of uncertainty.
  • Several horses with similar recent form, making a clear-cut selection challenging.
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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.