Total Performance Data - 10 Years At Newcastle Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Newcastle · 15:00 (UK local)
Tuesday, 19 May 2026
1m 4f 98y
Distance
AllWeather
Surface
Standard
Going
7
Runners
Prize: £12,000 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Danseuse (IRE)
J: J Mitchell · T: S & E Crisford
This filly represents a top stable and jockey combination, known for success in novice races. Her breeding suggests she will appreciate the step up in trip, and she is expected to show significant imp…
Ticker Tape
J: R Havlin · T: J & T Gosden
From another powerful stable, this filly is likely to be well-bred for stamina and should improve considerably from her debut run. The jockey booking is a strong positive.
La Tosca
J: Jason Hart · T: C Johnston
Trainer Mark Johnston excels with stayers, and this filly is expected to be fit and ready to perform over this testing distance. She should be competitive for a place.
Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (7 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | The Lakes |
| 3 | 6 | ①Danseuse (IRE) |
| 4 | 7 | Hello Friend (IRE) |
| 5 | 1 | ③La Tosca |
| 6 | 2 | Littlecote |
| 7 | 4 | ②Ticker Tape |
| 1 | 5 | Maneater |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Small field of 7 unexposed fillies in a novice stakes.
- •Race run over 1m 4f 98y on Newcastle's Tapeta All-Weather, a galloping track with a stiff finish.
- •Presence of runners from top stables (Crisford, Gosden, Johnston, Balding) with strong records in these types of races.
- •Stamina will be a key factor over this distance for these developing fillies.
Risk Assessment
- •Novice races inherently carry higher risk due to the lack of exposed form for most runners.
- •Potential for significant improvement from any horse, making predictions challenging.
- •Stamina for the full 1m 4f 98y is unproven for many of the contenders.
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Bet Danseuse (IRE) · AI confidence 38%
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.