🐎Horse Racing

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

Navan (IRE) · 13:12 (UK local)

Saturday, 16 May 2026

5f 180y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €22,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Barrow Boy (IRE)

J: Gary Carroll · T: G P Cromwell

Showed excellent promise on debut over this exact course and distance, finishing second by a narrow margin. This proven form gives him a significant edge over unraced rivals, and he is expected to imp…

②P2 pick28%

Sergei Diaghilev (IRE)

J: J Cleary · T: A P O'Brien

Represents the formidable Aidan O'Brien stable, known for producing high-class juveniles. While unraced, he is likely to be well-prepared and possess significant potential on debut.

③P3 pick20%

Seven Nation Army (GER)

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien

From the respected Joseph O'Brien yard, this debutant is expected to be well-bred and ready to run. The stable's record with two-year-olds suggests he could be competitive on his first outing.

Model confidence: 35% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (15 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	3	①Barrow Boy (IRE)	2	9-5	2	—	21d	Gary Carroll	G P Cromwell	—	0.0
2	11	Celeron	2	9-5	—	—	—	Jamie Powell	M O'Callaghan	—	0.0
3	9	Dhikola (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	Ronan Whelan	John O'Donoghue	—	0.0
4	10	Duke Of Arrakis (IRE)	2	9-5	79	—	12d	Ben Coen	J P Murtagh	—	0.0
5	12	Hi Corbett Court (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	Billy Lee	P Twomey	—	0.0
6	4	Howlin Wolf (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	James Ryan	J Davison	h	0.0
7	6	Mudyrk (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	Donagh O'Connor	Robson Aguiar	—	0.0
8	2	②Sergei Diaghilev (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	J Cleary	A P O'Brien	—	0.0
9	7	③Seven Nation Army (GER)	2	9-5	8	—	5d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
10	5	Tantardini (USA)	2	9-5	—	—	—	Wayne Lordan	A P O'Brien	—	0.0
11	8	The Scallionator (IRE)	2	9-5	4	—	19d	Wesley Joyce	M Mulvany	—	0.0
12	1	Tradewinds (IRE)	2	9-5	—	—	—	Gavin Ryan	Donnacha O'Brien	—	0.0
0	10	Scandinavia (USA)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Wayne Lordan	A P O'Brien	—	—
0	9	Lady Doris (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Gavin Ryan	Donnacha O'Brien	—	—
0	1	Valiant King	3	9-8	—	—	—	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Barrow Boy's proven course and distance form on debut.
•Presence of multiple well-bred debutants from leading stables (A.P. O'Brien, J.P. O'Brien, D. O'Brien, J.P. Murtagh, P. Twomey).
•Maiden race for 2-year-olds, often leading to significant improvement from debutants.
•Going conditions are not yet published, which can be a factor for juvenile performance.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•High number of unraced horses (12 out of 15 listed runners are debutants), making form assessment difficult.
•Potential for significant improvement from any debutant from a top stable.
•Going conditions are unknown, which can heavily influence juvenile performance.
•The provided analysis was incomplete, requiring assumptions for place picks based on general maiden race factors.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.