🐎Horse Racing

Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden

Naas (IRE) · 15:26 (UK local)

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €20,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Wedding (IRE)

J: R L Moore · T: A P O'Brien

Represents the formidable Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore combination, which is always potent in maidens. This filly is likely well-bred and prepared for a strong debut performance.

②P2 pick30%

Elmakaya (IRE)

J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld

From a stable renowned for producing well-schooled and progressive debutants. The booking of Chris Hayes suggests confidence in her ability.

③P3 pick25%

Guardian Of Realm

J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons

Another strong contender from a leading Irish yard, with top jockey Colin Keane aboard. Expected to be competitive on debut.

Model confidence: 28% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (11 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	3	②Elmakaya (IRE)	3	9-3	7	—	35d	Chris Hayes	D K Weld	—	0.0
2	1	③Guardian Of Realm	3	9-3	322-	79	158d	Colin Keane	G M Lyons	h	0.0
3	2	Mai Dahlia (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	t	0.0
4	5	Rebel Wave (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Billy Lee	W McCreery	—	0.0
5	6	Solana Beach (IRE)	3	9-3	2	—	25d	Seamie Heffernan	J A Stack	—	0.0
6	8	Sydney Dollars (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Gary Carroll	J G Murphy	—	0.0
7	7	Totally Puzzled (IRE)	3	9-3	6-0	—	44d	Ronan Whelan	H De Bromhead	h	0.0
8	4	①Wedding (IRE)	3	9-3	56	—	7d	R L Moore	A P O'Brien	p	0.0
0	5	Sound Of Lightning	3	9-3	—	—	—	Gavin Ryan	Donnacha O'Brien	—	—
0	7	Serialise (IRE)	3	9-3	—	—	—	Shane Foley	Mrs J Harrington	—	—
0	13	Unless (USA)	3	9-3	—	—	—	R L Moore	A P O'Brien	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Maiden race with all debutants, making stable and jockey form paramount.
•Strong trainer/jockey combinations from top Irish yards are key indicators.
•Breeding (though not detailed) plays a significant role in unraced maidens.
•Assumed Good to Yielding going will suit well-bred types.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•All runners are unraced, leading to significant uncertainty.
•Large field of 11 debutants increases the variance of outcomes.
•Reliance on pedigree and stable reputation without any prior form to assess.
•Going conditions are not yet published, adding an unknown variable.

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Bet Wedding (IRE) · AI confidence 38%

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.