Welsh Guards Association Handicap Hurdle
Ludlow · 16:02 (UK local)
Sunday, 10 May 2026
1m 7f 169y
Distance
Turf
Surface
Good (Good to Firm in places)
Going
10
Runners
Prize: £8,500 added
AI Top 3 Picks
Pergamon (FR)
J: William Shanahan · T: J Candlish
Pergamon is in excellent recent form, having won a Class 4 handicap hurdle last time out and showing clear progression this season. Despite carrying a 7lb penalty, his current trajectory and trainer's…
Soleil D'arizona (FR)
J: Harry Skelton · T: D Skelton
Dropping back to Class 4, Soleil D'arizona has a strong record at this level and distance, with her last pulled-up run being excusable. The red-hot form of trainer Dan Skelton and jockey Harry Skelton…
Zucayan (FR)
J: Nick Slatter · T: F O'Brien
Included as a speculative pick to complete the top three, given the limited analysis available for other runners in the field. Represents a potential outsider with unknown current form.
Model confidence: 38% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance
Full Racecard (10 runners)
| # | Draw | Horse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Hooper |
| 2 | — | ①Pergamon (FR) |
| 3 | — | The Tide Turns |
| 4 | — | ②Soleil D'arizona (FR) |
| 5 | — | ③Zucayan (FR) |
| 6 | — | Ufouria (IRE) |
| 7 | — | Lord Cauvelliere (FR) |
| 0 | — | ③Zucayan (FR) |
| 0 | — | Collingham (GER) |
| 0 | — | ③Zucayan (FR) |
Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run
Key Race Factors
- •Pergamon's strong recent winning form and progressive profile.
- •Soleil D'arizona's class drop and the exceptional form of the Skelton stable.
- •Long layoff and poor historical form for Hooper, making his return challenging.
- •The Tide Turns' consistently poor performances, indicating a lack of current ability.
- •Competitive field size (10 runners) with varying levels of recent form.
Risk Assessment
- •Competitive field size of 10 runners, increasing variability.
- •Presence of several unanalysed runners, introducing unknown variables into the race outcome.
- •Significant layoff for Hooper, making his immediate form unpredictable.
- •Pergamon carries a 7lb penalty for his last win, which could impact performance.
- •Soleil D'arizona's last run was a pulled-up effort, despite being excused, adds a slight element of risk.
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How These Predictions Work
These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.