🐎Horse Racing

Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

Killarney (IRE) · 17:05 (UK local)

Tuesday, 12 May 2026

1m 31y

Distance

Turf

Surface

TBC

Going

Runners

Prize: €20,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick38%

Alphonsus Liguori

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: J P O'Brien

Showed strong ability with a recent second-place finish, indicating he's primed to break his maiden for a leading stable. Expected to build on that promising run.

②P2 pick32%

Dark Leader (IRE)

J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack

Also comes into this race off a good second-place effort, suggesting he's in form and capable of another strong performance in a competitive field.

③P3 pick25%

Res Ipsa

J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons

Represents a top stable and jockey combination, expected to show significant improvement on previous outing and contend for a place.

Model confidence: 38% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (15 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	2	①Alphonsus Liguori	3	9-8	2	—	20d	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	0.0
2	8	Amrum	3	9-8	67	—	9d	Nicola Burns	G M Lyons	—	0.0
3	6	Chamonix (IRE)	3	9-8	54	—	18d	Declan McDonogh	J P O'Brien	t	0.0
4	5	Connor Of Mali (IRE)	3	9-8	0-	—	215d	Gary Noonan	L J Archdeacon	—	0.0
5	9	②Dark Leader (IRE)	3	9-8	2	—	17d	Seamie Heffernan	J A Stack	—	0.0
6	4	Henry Hudson	3	9-8	—	—	—	Luke McAteer	D Marnane	—	0.0
7	3	Lonely Island (FR)	3	9-8	7-	—	158d	Leigh Roche	M O'Callaghan	—	0.0
8	1	Mergus Serrator (IRE)	3	9-8	6-4	—	17d	Gary Carroll	G P Cromwell	—	0.0
9	7	Oro Blanco (IRE)	3	9-8	5	—	17d	Shane Foley	Mrs J Harrington	—	0.0
10	11	③Res Ipsa	3	9-8	6-	—	278d	Colin Keane	G M Lyons	t	0.0
11	12	Second Line (IRE)	3	9-8	0-8	—	104d	Nathan Crosse	Mrs J Harrington	—	0.0
12	10	Vico Road (IRE)	3	9-8	—	—	—	J M Sheridan	J J Murphy	—	0.0
0	2	Gun Carriage (USA)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Wayne Lordan	A P O'Brien	—	—
0	4	Thor's Hammer (IRE)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Ben Coen	J P Murtagh	—	—
0	10	Just An Hour (IRE)	3	9-8	—	—	—	Dylan Browne McMonagle	J P O'Brien	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•Strong recent form of Alphonsus Liguori and Dark Leader (both 2nd last out).
•Competitive 3-year-old maiden race over 1m 31y on good ground.
•Large field of 15 runners, including several from top Irish stables.
•Potential for unexposed horses to show significant improvement on previous runs.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field of 15 runners increases race unpredictability.
•Maiden status means many horses are unexposed or still learning.
•Significant improvement is possible from lightly raced contenders.
•Several well-bred horses from top stables could surprise.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.