🐎Horse RacingRace Completed

Killarney Avenue Hotel Maiden Hurdle

Killarney (IRE) · 13:22 (UK local)

Saturday, 9 May 2026

2m 1f

Distance

Turf

Surface

Good to Yielding (Good in places)

Going

Runners

Prize: €12,000 added

AI Top 3 Picks

①P1 pick45%

North Shore (FR)

J: Keith Donoghue · T: G P Cromwell

North Shore drops significantly in class from competitive Class 1 handicap hurdles where he performed creditably. His Official Rating of 133 makes him exceptionally well-handicapped in this maiden com…

②P2 pick35%

Portnahapple

J: Paul Townend · T: W P Mullins

Represents the formidable Mullins/Townend combination, often indicating a well-regarded prospect. While unraced over hurdles, he is expected to be well-prepared and capable of a strong debut in this c…

③P3 pick28%

Custom Of The Sea (IRE)

J: J J Slevin · T: J P O'Brien

From another top stable, J P O'Brien, and has shown glimpses of ability in previous starts. With further experience over hurdles, he is a strong candidate to hit the frame.

Model confidence: 42% · capped at 50% for racing's structural variance

Full Racecard (19 runners)

#	Draw	Horse	Age	Wgt	Form	OR	Last	Jockey	Trainer	HG	PR
1	—	Earthwatch (IRE)	4	11-7	4-	—	34d	Daniel King	D Hogan	t	—
2	—	①North Shore (FR)	4	11-7	340F/	133	33d	Keith Donoghue	G P Cromwell	—	—
4	—	Whats New (IRE)	4	11-7	R25/564-	105	21d	Cian Quirke	A Slattery	—	—
5	—	Bravemans Bounce (IRE)	4	10-13	8/	—	70d	Ben Harvey	C Collins	—	—
6	—	Fergy Five (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	Jack Gilligan	P J Gilligan	—	—
7	—	Messire Des Bordes (FR)	4	10-13	8-	—	21d	Conor Stone-Walsh	G P Cromwell	—	—
8	—	Osco Flyer (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	Danny Gilligan	C Collins	—	—
9	—	Pillartou (IRE)	4	10-13	PP-	—	41d	Philip Donovan	P J Gilligan	—	—
10	—	②Portnahapple	4	10-13	—	—	205d	Paul Townend	W P Mullins	—	—
11	—	Straightenyourhand (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	Alan O'Sullivan	W J Burke	—	—
13	—	Tribal (FR)	4	10-13	—	—	—	J J Slevin	N Lee	—	—
14	—	Who's Da Goose	4	10-13	—	—	—	Gary Noonan	E McCarthy	—	—
15	—	Al What (IRE)	4	10-6	—	—	29d	Donagh Meyler	N Meade	—	—
16	—	Breeze Of Tobruk (IRE)	4	10-6	90-	—	23d	Sean O'Keeffe	T O'Connor	—	—
3	—	Royal Alliance (FR)	4	11-7	—	—	55d	John Shinnick	Maurice Ahern	t	—
12	—	Time For Talking (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	Alex Harvey	Richard Hennessy	—	—
0	—	Autumn Twist (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	Daniel King	D Hogan	—	—
0	—	St Faz (FR)	4	11-7	—	—	—	Phillip Enright	E J O'Grady	—	—
0	—	③Custom Of The Sea (IRE)	4	10-13	—	—	—	J J Slevin	J P O'Brien	—	—

Wgt = weight (st-lb) · OR = official rating · PR = Sky Sports power rating · HG = headgear (b/v/cp/t/h/p) · Last = days since last run

Key Race Factors

•North Shore's dominant class drop from Class 1 handicaps to a maiden hurdle.
•Strong connections of Portnahapple (Mullins/Townend) and Custom Of The Sea (O'Brien/Slevin).
•Large field of 19 runners increasing race complexity and variance.
•Unpublished going adds a significant layer of uncertainty to predictions.

Risk Assessment

Variance levelhigh

•Large field size (19 runners) inherently increases unpredictability.
•Unknown going conditions introduce a major variable that cannot be factored in.
•Presence of several unraced horses adds an element of the unknown.
•Maiden hurdle races are structurally high-variance events.

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How These Predictions Work

These predictions are AI-generated using current racecard data and search-grounded analysis. Horse racing is structurally high-variance — even the most-favoured horse wins only ~30–35% of races. Use AI predictions as one input among many, alongside your own form study and trusted tipsters. Bet responsibly.